NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	98		Excitement	8.4 [222]		MVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): +52.7%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	2.0 [745]		LVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): -19.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Barnes	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	9	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
OG Anunoby	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	16	56%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	10	52%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Fred VanVleet	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,0.08,-0.01	-0.09	0.07	-0.01	20	37%	0.08	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.04
Justin Champagnie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1	0.04	-0.14	-0.00	14	50%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pascal Siakam	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.10	0.00	18	45%	-0.08	5	-0.12	8	75%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.53,0.53	0.53	0.20	0.35	0.02	24	68%	0.65	4	-0.13	12	92%	0.06
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.01	-0.04	10	80%	0.16	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	2	125%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	11	41%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.10	-0.00	10	64%	0.10	5	-0.20	8	100%	0.05
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	11	36%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	31.2	14.5	25.4	2.4	37.6	137.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +75.5%

DAL +2.6%

TOR -9.1%

TOR -22.1%

DAL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DAL	NBA	TOR	DAL	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	14.5	103.2	107.4	110.8
season	14.9	15.6		111.3	112.4
opponent	14.5	14.8		109.2	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.2	14.8	15.8	15.8	15.4
DAL	14.2	14.6	14.9	16.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Champagnie	33	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-7	10	15.1	15.5	-0.38	13.9	15.6	-1.61
Precious Achiuwa	68	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	5	-14	15.3	15.5	-0.16	14.8	15.4	-0.62
Scottie Barnes	54	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-1	-2	14.7	16.3	-1.63	16.0	13.5	2.48
OG Anunoby	86	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.42	1	-5	6	15.5	14.2	1.27	14.7	17.7	-3.00
Chris Boucher	66	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	16.0	14.0	2.02	14.3	16.3	-2.01
Fred VanVleet	82	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	0	-4	15.6	14.0	1.59	14.9	15.0	-0.06
Pascal Siakam	86	85	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	1	-6	15.1	17.6	-2.42	15.6	9.2	6.42

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	66	68	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-2	8	16.1	12.4	3.70	15.4	15.3	0.10
Luka Doncic	85	85	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-3	10	14.7	17.1	-2.41	15.3	16.1	-0.82
Jalen Brunson	63	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	0	4	15.7	13.4	2.28	15.5	15.1	0.45
Maxi Kleber	50	52	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.21	5	-1	6	15.3	14.6	0.74	14.9	16.0	-1.07
Kristaps Porzingis	69	68	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	6	-8	14.6	15.9	-1.34	14.7	17.1	-2.43
Reggie Bullock	36	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	1	2	14.5	15.2	-0.68	15.9	15.1	0.75
Dwight Powell	31	32	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	4	-4	15.5	14.7	0.84	16.2	14.9	1.28
Frank Ntilikina	5	5	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	2	0	18.0	14.8	3.22	14.8	15.4	-0.60
Tim Hardaway Jr.	54	53	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	5	-6	13.8	16.4	-2.58	15.9	14.6	1.30
Josh Green	16	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	8	-12	11.7	15.6	-3.84	14.5	15.5	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 127, UTA 129	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.67,0.74,1	92.9%
UTA 90, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.69,0.63,0.91,1,1	92.8%
MIA 94, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.84,0.77,1	92.7%