NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	118		Excitement	10.8 [45]		MVP	Paul George (LAC): +68.8%
Utah Jazz	120		Comeback	2.8 [297]		LVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): -15.1%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.69	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.5,0.69	0.23	0.47	0.01	17	73%	0.75	2	-0.06	15	100%	0.16
Norman Powell	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.15	0.24	-0.01	10	83%	0.41	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.06
Nicolas Batum	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Covington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ivica Zubac	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04
Bones Hyland	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	10	60%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.01,-0.15	0.07	-0.20	0.02	22	53%	-0.12	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.05

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.10	0.24	0.00	6	100%	0.40	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.13	0.13	-0.02	0.15	0.00	13	45%	0.18	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.05	0.05	0.16	-0.12	-0.00	23	67%	0.17	3	-0.12	6	100%	0.05
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	12	46%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	10	45%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Walker Kessler	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.08	-0.01	7	29%	0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.11	-0.00	11	50%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	29.3	14.6	28.3	2.5	32.7	135.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -10.4%

LAC -12.5%

UTA +70.5%

LAC -0.2%

UTA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	13.9	14.8	14.5	118.0	118.8	113.9
season	14.9	14.7		116.6	113.7
opponent	13.9	14.4		119.0	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.0	15.3	12.3	15.3	13.9
UTA	14.7	14.7	14.3	15.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norman Powell	55	53	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.11	3	-5	8	13.1	14.8	-1.72	14.8	14.7	0.08
Ivica Zubac	40	41	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-3	4	14.1	13.7	0.42	14.4	15.0	-0.53
Bones Hyland	49	49	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-1	0	13.2	14.5	-1.28	13.9	15.6	-1.66
Kawhi Leonard	72	76	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.41	9	-11	20	14.4	12.5	1.94	15.0	14.1	0.84
Mason Plumlee	29	27	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	9	-20	12.3	14.6	-2.29	14.1	15.0	-0.88
Paul George	80	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.52	3	-5	8	13.5	15.3	-1.81	14.7	15.1	-0.43
Russell Westbrook	73	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.37	-4	2	-6	14.8	11.6	3.16	15.3	13.2	2.09
Nicolas Batum	63	63	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.44	-4	2	-6	14.0	13.7	0.27	14.9	14.5	0.45
Robert Covington	39	42	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.51	-6	4	-10	14.7	13.4	1.38	15.0	14.6	0.38

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lauri Markkanen	74	74	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.58	11	-9	20	14.4	15.9	-1.50	13.9	14.0	-0.08
Talen Horton-Tucker	55	53	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.32	4	-2	6	15.3	14.1	1.18	15.3	12.4	2.90
Jordan Clarkson	70	67	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.44	-2	4	-6	15.5	13.1	2.39	14.2	13.4	0.80
Kelly Olynyk	56	58	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.42	-4	6	-10	14.5	15.1	-0.61	13.2	14.9	-1.77
John Collins	70	68	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.40	-4	6	-10	15.3	13.4	1.92	14.4	12.9	1.51
Kris Dunn	40	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	-6	14	13.4	15.7	-2.28	13.3	14.3	-1.06
Walker Kessler	45	42	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	-4	10	15.1	14.5	0.61	14.9	13.2	1.77
Collin Sexton	42	42	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.14	-4	6	-10	14.5	15.0	-0.51	12.6	14.8	-2.25
Ochai Agbaji	29	30	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	4	-6	13.2	15.4	-2.22	11.3	15.0	-3.67
Keyonte George	24	24	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.18	-3	5	-8	15.6	14.5	1.14	15.4	13.4	2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.8,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.33,0.38,0.63,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 85, MIN 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.6,0.71,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.45,0.58,1	92.1%
UTA 99, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.61,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.25,0.54,0.69,0.73,1	91.0%
DEN 104, BKN 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.42,1	90.7%