NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	7.8 [250]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +29.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	3.0 [562]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -21.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.09	0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.1,0.09	0.10	0.02	0.02	15	60%	0.11	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.03
Kyle Korver	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	12	54%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	18	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.05
Carlos Boozer	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22	-0.03	-0.16	0.02	17	53%	-0.06	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.3	0.30	0.12	0.19	0.01	19	69%	0.38	4	-0.08	7	100%	0.09
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.05	0.03	15	68%	0.25	3	-0.14	7	100%	0.04
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	2	87%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	43%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	0.01	9	44%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	7	56%	0.05	3	-0.16	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	3.0	32.5	20.0	28.8	2.8	38.0	151.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +37.4%

LAL +8.0%

LAL +18.9%

UTA -16.7%

LAL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.6	15.3	107.6	110.6	106.0
season	15.3	15.7		109.5	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		103.0	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.3	14.9	15.0	14.4	15.4
LAL	13.4	17.0	16.3	15.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	16	16	0.36	-0.86	1.23	0.16	7	-12	19	16.9	15.1	1.77	19.6	14.7	4.91
Kyle Korver	39	38	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.07	3	-8	11	15.5	15.4	0.13	16.6	14.9	1.68
Kosta Koufos	17	15	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.03	2	-7	9	16.3	15.2	1.08	17.7	15.2	2.51
Kyrylo Fesenko	23	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-5	5	18.1	14.5	3.57	16.8	15.1	1.75
CJ Miles	77	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-1	-3	15.6	14.7	0.89	15.7	14.6	1.09
Paul Millsap	68	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.32	-7	2	-9	14.6	17.6	-2.99	15.3	16.3	-0.99
Carlos Boozer	75	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.39	-7	2	-9	15.2	16.3	-1.08	15.2	17.7	-2.51
Wesley Matthews	69	70	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.51	-7	2	-9	15.1	16.4	-1.30	14.6	18.2	-3.57
Deron Williams	76	78	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.51	-12	7	-19	15.1	16.9	-1.77	14.7	19.6	-4.91

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	79	77	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.37	10	-5	15	15.2	17.5	-2.36	15.2	16.3	-1.02
Pau Gasol	80	78	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-3	11	15.0	18.6	-3.63	15.1	16.9	-1.79
Kobe Bryant	73	71	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-3	11	15.0	17.5	-2.48	15.4	15.3	0.10
Metta World Peace	66	62	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.34	8	-3	11	15.3	16.2	-0.94	15.4	15.5	-0.13
Lamar Odom	61	62	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	0	5	15.3	16.1	-0.83	14.6	17.1	-2.45
Josh Powell	1	1	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	7	-9	2.0	15.7	-13.70	7.0	15.5	-8.51
Luke Walton	17	18	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	7	-9	18.1	15.0	3.13	16.1	15.3	0.80
Andrew Bynum	46	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	6	-7	17.2	14.0	3.17	17.3	13.8	3.46
Shannon Brown	32	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	9	-13	16.0	15.3	0.72	15.1	15.6	-0.50
Jordan Farmar	15	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	10	-15	17.5	15.2	2.36	16.3	15.2	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.61,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.25,0.54,0.69,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.63,0.62,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.47,0.39,0.29,0.57,0.58,1	90.6%
TOR 83, OKC 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.53,0.67,0.45,0.72,0.77,0.91,1	90.4%
WAS 85, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.58,1	90.3%