NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	104		Excitement	10.3 [59]		MVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): +82.0%
Brooklyn Nets	105		Comeback	11.7 [94]		LVP	Emmanuel Mudiay (DEN): -20.6%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenneth Faried	0.49	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.49	0.12	0.37	-0.00	16	65%	0.49	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Randy Foye	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.08	-0.01	11	50%	0.18	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	7	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.01	12	71%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.2,0.15,0.04	0.12	-0.06	0.03	16	62%	0.07	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Joffrey Lauvergne	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	9	40%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Jokic	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	10	32%	-0.10	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.82	0.82	0.02	0.81	0.01	10	60%	0.87	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.00	0.17	0.00	11	57%	0.26	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.05
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	8	71%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	15	62%	0.15	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.04	-0.04	0.10	-0.14	0.00	10	73%	0.17	2	-0.21	6	83%	0.01
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	7	64%	0.13	3	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Chris McCullough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	29.9	14.8	26.3	2.4	34.4	132.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +96.8%

DEN -1.6%

DEN -18.1%

DEN -32.5%

BKN +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	BKN	NBA	DEN	BKN	NBA
this game	14.3	15.7	14.9	107.2	110.5	105.1
season	14.9	15.0		104.3	101.9
opponent	14.8	14.9		109.3	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.1	13.8	12.2	16.7	14.3
BKN	16.2	13.9	17.6	15.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emmanuel Mudiay	72	72	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.37	-4	3	-7	14.2	14.8	-0.63	15.6	16.0	-0.36
Jusuf Nurkic	36	32	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.14	9	-10	19	14.0	14.5	-0.48	17.1	15.0	2.17
Will Barton	40	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	3	-7	15.5	13.5	1.95	16.0	15.5	0.55
Mike Miller	11	12	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	9	-19	17.1	14.0	3.11	14.7	15.8	-1.16
Joffrey Lauvergne	10	11	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	9	-19	17.2	14.0	3.20	13.9	15.9	-2.01
Kenneth Faried	61	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.47	8	-9	17	13.1	16.5	-3.41	15.4	16.1	-0.64
Gary Harris	81	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.55	9	-10	19	14.1	15.6	-1.48	15.6	16.1	-0.46
Danilo Gallinari	84	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.56	9	-10	19	14.1	16.0	-1.93	15.9	14.6	1.31
Randy Foye	61	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.42	-2	1	-3	15.3	12.7	2.64	14.9	17.1	-2.14
Nikola Jokic	29	28	-1.10	0.60	-1.69	-0.80	-10	9	-19	13.5	14.7	-1.16	16.8	15.2	1.56

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	59	63	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.77	3	-2	5	16.6	14.2	2.31	14.0	14.9	-0.90
Joe Johnson	57	59	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.50	3	-2	5	16.4	14.7	1.71	14.3	14.4	-0.19
Thaddeus Young	73	76	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.47	3	-2	5	16.0	14.5	1.54	14.1	15.0	-0.86
Shane Larkin	46	44	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.44	2	-1	3	14.5	16.8	-2.25	15.6	13.3	2.27
Markel Brown	49	48	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.44	0	1	-1	14.6	16.9	-2.34	15.1	13.5	1.62
Bojan Bogdanovic	46	50	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	-5	11	15.2	16.1	-0.91	13.6	15.1	-1.55
Donald Sloan	49	53	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	2	-3	16.8	14.5	2.25	13.3	15.6	-2.27
Chris McCullough	22	21	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	3	-5	14.5	16.0	-1.54	15.0	14.1	0.86
Wayne Ellington	38	37	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.02	-7	8	-15	16.7	15.0	1.67	14.4	14.3	0.12
Thomas Robinson	36	34	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.30	-2	3	-5	14.2	16.6	-2.31	14.9	14.0	0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.28,0.15,0.42,1	93.2%
ORL 79, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.69,0.68,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.43,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.58,1	91.4%
DET 89, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.33,0.25,0.46,0.32,0.42,1	91.2%