NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	103		Excitement	8.8 [174]		MVP	Royce O'Neale (BKN): +38.0%
Brooklyn Nets	115		Comeback	2.2 [540]		LVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (BKN): -16.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.21	0.08	0.11	-0.02	12	62%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.08	0.00	7	93%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.01	19	40%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Jalen McDaniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	0.01	12	42%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	18	40%	-0.06	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	-0.00	15	42%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Precious Achiuwa	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	4	8%	-0.11	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.13	0.25	0.00	12	75%	0.41	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.01	10	62%	0.15	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.01	17	59%	0.30	5	-0.19	3	100%	0.03
Cameron Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.05	0.03	11	67%	0.15	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	17	52%	0.04	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.06
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	47%	0.04	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	10	25%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	26.1	14.5	30.4	2.3	31.0	130.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +43.1%

BKN +22.9%

BKN +15.3%

TOR -33.6%

BKN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BKN	NBA	TOR	BKN	NBA
this game	14.7	13.9	14.5	104.0	112.7	113.9
season	14.0	14.8		111.3	111.9
opponent	14.5	14.7		114.7	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.5	15.7	12.3	14.7	14.7
BKN	13.5	15.0	14.3	13.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Boucher	22	21	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.13	8	-20	28	16.5	14.2	2.21	17.3	13.1	4.22
Jakob Poeltl	52	52	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.04	0	-12	12	14.5	15.0	-0.54	14.2	13.6	0.61
Jalen McDaniels	24	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.10	2	-14	16	17.0	14.0	2.99	16.5	13.2	3.30
Precious Achiuwa	18	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-10	8	15.1	14.7	0.46	13.8	14.0	-0.21
Dennis Schroder	69	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-10	8	13.8	16.9	-3.06	13.6	14.6	-0.97
Malachi Flynn	30	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-2	-8	16.9	13.8	3.06	14.6	13.6	0.97
Gary Trent Jr.	53	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-6	0	14.0	15.5	-1.51	13.7	14.2	-0.52
Pascal Siakam	75	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	2	-16	14.0	17.0	-2.99	13.2	16.5	-3.30
OG Anunoby	76	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.12	-14	2	-16	14.6	15.1	-0.46	13.7	14.9	-1.19
Scottie Barnes	76	79	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.04	-22	10	-32	14.9	14.1	0.79	13.3	16.0	-2.73

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nic Claxton	68	66	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.01	20	-8	28	13.4	15.1	-1.69	15.2	13.9	1.29
Mikal Bridges	82	80	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-3	18	13.5	15.8	-2.32	14.3	16.4	-2.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	82	80	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-3	18	13.5	15.8	-2.32	14.3	16.4	-2.02
Royce O'Neale	63	62	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-3	18	14.5	13.0	1.47	15.4	13.7	1.70
Dorian Finney-Smith	58	56	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	2	8	13.4	14.6	-1.20	13.8	16.0	-2.15
Cameron Johnson	58	55	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	4	4	14.1	13.7	0.44	14.6	14.9	-0.23
Lonnie Walker IV	47	44	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	14	-16	14.5	13.5	1.03	15.5	14.1	1.37
Trendon Watford	22	22	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	20	-28	15.0	13.6	1.36	16.5	14.2	2.27
Day'Ron Sharpe	30	30	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.14	-13	25	-38	15.5	13.3	2.22	14.1	15.0	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.73,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.84,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 79, DEN 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.71,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.84,1,1	92.3%
LAL 101, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.84,1	91.9%
CLE 59, SAS 64	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.77,0.82,1	91.8%