NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	101		Excitement	8.6 [160]		MVP	Byron Scott (LAL): +14.2%
Utah Jazz	103		Comeback	1.6 [702]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -53.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Byron Scott	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14	0.19	-0.00	0.05	11	83%	0.14	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
Robert Horry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.04	0.28	0.06	0.30	7	150%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.02	0.03	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	1	100%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	0.00	0.08	3	62%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11	-0.09	0.00	0.02	17	41%	-0.03	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.05	0.03	5	50%	-0.07	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.05	0.06	3	0%	-0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.54	0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.21,-0.26,-0.3,-0.36,-0.31,-0.41,-0.41,-0.38,-0.38,-0.54	-0.17	-0.33	0.04	25	42%	-0.36	5	-0.18	10	50%	-0.12

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	11	68%	0.12	0	0.00	9	100%	0.06
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.19,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	7	87%	0.21	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	4	25%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.06
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	9	62%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.27	-0.27	-0.12	-0.16	-0.01	26	51%	-0.10	7	-0.17	9	78%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	1.8	36.0	17.0	32.1	1.7	37.5	154.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +0.5%

UTA +43.9%

UTA +0.3%

UTA +1.9%

UTA +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	18.4	15.7	15.6	120.2	121.2	104.4
season	15.3	15.6		105.8	110.8
opponent	16.0	15.7		102.2	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	20.7	16.6	16.0	21.5	18.4
UTA	17.2	13.4	13.4	20.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Knight	21	21	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.08	6	-8	14	16.8	18.9	-2.06	17.1	15.3	1.80
Kobe Bryant	7	7	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-3	4	13.6	18.8	-5.22	24.7	14.9	9.78
Sean Rooks	1	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	0	-2	2.0	18.6	-16.55	15.0	15.7	-0.75
Byron Scott	45	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.38	9	-11	20	17.2	19.7	-2.59	16.2	15.3	0.87
Jerome Kersey	32	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	1	-4	16.5	19.5	-3.00	14.6	16.5	-1.82
Elden Campbell	52	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.36	4	-6	10	18.0	19.0	-1.04	16.8	14.2	2.61
Eddie Jones	50	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	7	-16	19.5	16.6	2.87	14.5	17.6	-3.03
Nick Van Exel	77	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	1	-4	18.8	13.6	5.22	14.9	24.7	-9.78
Robert Horry	79	80	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.40	-7	5	-12	18.6	14.0	4.63	15.1	25.6	-10.47
Shaquille O'Neal	56	58	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.45	-6	4	-10	20.2	14.7	5.52	16.6	13.9	2.66

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	77	76	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.42	9	-7	16	14.9	23.5	-8.56	18.5	17.0	1.50
John Stockton	65	65	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.39	8	-6	14	15.5	16.4	-0.93	19.0	16.1	2.91
Bryon Russell	59	60	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	-6	14	14.8	17.8	-2.98	18.5	17.9	0.68
Jeff Hornacek	69	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	-1	4	14.6	20.6	-5.94	18.3	18.5	-0.21
Shandon Anderson	18	17	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	3	-4	19.6	14.7	4.84	17.5	18.6	-1.11
Greg Ostertag	29	29	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	2	-2	17.0	15.1	1.91	22.3	16.3	6.04
Antoine Carr	29	27	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	6	-10	17.6	14.8	2.85	16.4	19.3	-2.87
Greg Foster	35	36	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	3	-4	14.9	16.3	-1.41	16.3	19.9	-3.54
Howard Eisley	20	19	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	8	-14	16.4	15.5	0.93	16.1	19.0	-2.91
Chris Morris	24	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	8	-14	18.3	14.7	3.61	18.6	18.3	0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, HOU 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.97,1	92.8%
LAC 91, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.86,0.76,0.74,1	92.5%
NYK 84, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.54,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.6,0.75,0.85,0.99,1,1	92.5%