NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	91		Excitement	8.9 [156]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +33.6%
Washington Wizards	94		Comeback	1.6 [835]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -25.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zeljko Rebraca	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	7	87%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Bobby Simmons	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	18	57%	0.07	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Corey Maggette	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	17	49%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.07
Chris Kaman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Marko Jaric	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.00	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.26,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	2	-0.11	2	0%	-0.08
Quinton Ross	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	4	20%	-0.09	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05
Elton Brand	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.25,-0.25	-0.06	-0.20	-0.00	15	47%	-0.18	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.34	0.34	0.16	0.14	-0.03	20	71%	0.41	2	-0.07	9	89%	0.09
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.24	0.24	-0.02	0.25	-0.00	16	50%	0.35	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	8	81%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	9	57%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	2	0%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.08
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	11	36%	-0.13	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.19	-0.04	-0.02	7	25%	-0.11	4	-0.09	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	25.2	15.6	22.4	1.7	42.0	134.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +50.9%

WAS +5.6%

LAC -2.4%

LAC -5.0%

WAS +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	WAS	NBA	LAC	WAS	NBA
this game	15.6	15.5	15.5	97.8	102.2	104.0
season	16.0	14.7		103.0	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		105.5	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	15.4	16.4	15.7	15.6
WAS	14.3	15.9	16.4	15.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	19	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-4	5	16.8	15.3	1.53	15.7	15.5	0.22
Zeljko Rebraca	54	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.39	7	-10	17	15.8	15.3	0.50	15.6	15.3	0.31
Rick Brunson	55	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.47	6	-9	15	15.1	16.3	-1.21	15.7	15.2	0.45
Elton Brand	69	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	1	-5	15.6	15.7	-0.06	15.5	15.5	-0.04
Marko Jaric	65	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	4	-11	15.7	15.5	0.18	15.7	15.2	0.49
Bobby Simmons	73	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-2	1	15.7	15.2	0.54	15.2	16.7	-1.48
Corey Maggette	58	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.48	4	-7	11	14.8	16.9	-2.12	15.6	15.3	0.36
Quinton Ross	41	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.12	-9	6	-15	16.4	15.0	1.33	15.8	15.3	0.53
Chris Kaman	32	32	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	12	-27	15.5	15.7	-0.14	14.6	16.0	-1.36

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	87	87	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.38	7	-4	11	15.2	20.4	-5.17	15.4	18.8	-3.43
Antawn Jamison	81	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-4	11	15.3	17.2	-1.90	15.4	17.5	-2.08
Brendan Haywood	56	58	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.29	9	-6	15	15.0	16.2	-1.21	16.1	14.8	1.27
Jarvis Hayes	64	66	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	-2	7	16.0	14.4	1.61	16.0	14.8	1.19
Juan Dixon	47	48	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	-1	5	15.5	15.6	-0.09	15.8	15.4	0.39
Michael Ruffin	39	39	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	5	-7	15.6	15.5	0.09	15.4	15.8	-0.37
Jared Jeffries	38	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	4	-5	15.6	15.5	0.12	15.7	15.6	0.12
Etan Thomas	35	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.14	-8	11	-19	16.1	15.1	0.97	15.1	15.9	-0.78
Steve Blake	13	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	9	-15	16.6	15.3	1.29	15.8	15.6	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.86,0.76,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 106, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.91,1	92.7%
LAL 101, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.84,1	92.5%
NJN 79, DAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.8,0.79,0.91,1,1	92.5%