NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	84		Excitement	6.9 [402]		MVP	Kevin Willis (HOU): +8.1%
Houston Rockets	95		Comeback	2.0 [372]		LVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): -19.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.01	0.06	6	100%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
John Starks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	17	62%	0.08	4	-0.10	13	85%	0.03
Charles Oakley	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	8	53%	0.04	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Mills	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Childs	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	7	14%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	12	46%	0.04	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.02
Allan Houston	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	9	22%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.03	-0.01	9	28%	-0.13	3	-0.06	7	71%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Willis	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.08	-0.00	15	49%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	14	75%	0.22	5	-0.18	4	100%	0.06
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.04	11	66%	-0.01	0	0.00	13	85%	-0.01
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	4	33%	-0.08	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.06
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.03	0.03	13	44%	-0.08	4	-0.11	10	90%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.6	30.2	16.7	32.1	2.8	40.0	150.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +27.7%

HOU +12.5%

NYK -3.5%

HOU +16.7%

NYK -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	HOU	NBA	NYK	HOU	NBA
this game	14.3	15.9	15.6	87.5	100.0	102.5
season	15.7	15.7		100.4	104.5
opponent	15.2	16.3		105.7	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.9	12.1	14.9	15.6	14.3
HOU	15.8	15.6	18.0	14.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	47	46	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.01	4	-15	19	15.5	13.2	2.26	16.7	15.0	1.72
Chris Childs	45	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-11	11	14.7	14.0	0.71	15.9	15.9	-0.00
Larry Johnson	65	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.10	-7	-4	-3	14.7	13.5	1.13	16.2	15.1	1.08
Chris Dudley	27	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-8	5	14.6	14.2	0.34	15.1	16.2	-1.10
Patrick Ewing	70	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-1	-9	14.3	14.4	-0.10	16.1	15.2	0.88
Charlie Ward	51	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	0	-11	14.0	14.7	-0.71	15.9	15.9	0.00
Charles Oakley	72	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	0	-11	13.7	16.0	-2.31	15.5	16.7	-1.21
John Starks	60	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.25	-7	-4	-3	14.3	14.3	0.01	15.1	17.2	-2.11
Chris Mills	43	42	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	-1	-9	13.3	15.1	-1.75	16.1	15.6	0.48

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakeem Olajuwon	80	82	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.18	18	-7	25	16.0	14.9	1.17	13.5	19.4	-5.91
Kevin Willis	79	78	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.11	18	-7	25	15.7	16.4	-0.70	14.8	12.1	2.78
Mario Elie	64	66	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.05	19	-8	27	15.9	15.8	0.02	14.0	15.0	-1.05
Clyde Drexler	77	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.17	15	-4	19	15.5	17.2	-1.69	14.7	12.7	2.03
Matt Maloney	69	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-1	13	15.3	17.2	-1.84	14.1	14.9	-0.82
Brent Price	27	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	14	-17	16.9	15.5	1.40	14.4	14.3	0.13
Othella Harrington	8	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	14	-17	18.4	15.6	2.75	13.0	14.4	-1.43
Emanual Davis	13	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	15	-19	17.1	15.7	1.42	11.5	14.8	-3.30
Rodrick Rhodes	35	34	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	17	-23	16.3	15.6	0.73	15.5	13.7	1.84
Matt Bullard	23	24	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.04	-11	22	-33	14.7	16.2	-1.47	16.0	13.7	2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.54,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.6,0.75,0.85,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 113, SAS 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.62,0.65,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.75,0.94,0.97,0.91,1	93.2%
LAL 101, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.84,1	92.5%
DAL 92, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.72,0.62,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	92.3%