NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	92		Excitement	7.1 [382]		MVP	Raef LaFrentz (DAL): +22.6%
Utah Jazz	95		Comeback	1.9 [412]		LVP	Scott Padgett (UTA): -22.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz	0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.10	0.01	14	75%	0.26	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.13	0.12	0.05	0.04	22	63%	0.19	1	-0.06	10	100%	0.05
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	9	44%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,-0.01,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11	0.01	-0.10	0.02	13	68%	0.09	5	-0.20	2	100%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.13	-0.00	13	61%	0.21	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.01	8	61%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03
Karl Malone	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.06	-0.04	14	62%	0.17	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.01	0.06	9	81%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.05
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	37%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.08
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	9	52%	0.01	4	-0.13	11	55%	-0.02
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	6	7%	-0.18	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.7	31.2	15.8	26.0	2.0	37.2	140.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +23.6%

DAL -4.3%

UTA +31.4%

DAL -2.7%

UTA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.1	16.6	15.5	101.1	104.4	101.6
season	15.1	16.3		108.6	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.3		101.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.3	17.7	16.6	13.4	15.1
UTA	16.7	15.9	16.9	16.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	42	43	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-6	9	16.1	14.2	1.87	17.0	16.1	0.92
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	17	18	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-3	3	13.5	15.4	-1.92	15.5	16.8	-1.32
Avery Johnson	11	11	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-3	3	16.8	14.8	1.97	14.4	16.9	-2.50
Raja Bell	65	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-1	-1	16.0	12.7	3.30	16.3	17.1	-0.84
Shawn Bradley	16	16	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	2	-7	10.5	16.1	-5.57	15.8	16.7	-0.91
Eduardo Najera	33	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	0	-3	16.4	14.3	2.05	16.5	16.6	-0.14
Steve Nash	73	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-6	9	15.0	15.5	-0.51	17.2	14.2	2.98
Nick Van Exel	55	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.45	-1	-2	1	14.6	15.9	-1.33	16.2	17.2	-1.03
Raef LaFrentz	60	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	2	-7	14.6	16.0	-1.33	16.9	15.9	0.95
Dirk Nowitzki	83	80	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	2	-7	15.1	15.4	-0.31	16.7	15.4	1.36

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	72	73	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.34	13	-10	23	16.4	17.2	-0.76	14.6	16.9	-2.25
Greg Ostertag	64	65	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.30	13	-10	23	17.1	15.4	1.69	15.0	15.3	-0.25
Calbert Cheaney	44	46	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-8	19	17.3	15.8	1.51	15.3	14.9	0.39
John Stockton	61	61	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	0	3	16.6	16.5	0.04	14.8	15.6	-0.81
Andrei Kirilenko	57	57	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.44	-2	5	-7	16.6	16.5	0.05	14.8	15.6	-0.85
Matt Harpring	56	57	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	3	-3	16.0	17.5	-1.55	15.4	14.6	0.80
Mark Jackson	30	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	3	-3	16.5	16.6	-0.04	15.6	14.8	0.81
DeShawn Stevenson	25	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	6	-9	16.5	16.6	-0.11	14.7	15.2	-0.48
Scott Padgett	38	37	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.09	-9	12	-21	15.6	17.2	-1.59	16.2	14.4	1.81
Tony Massenburg	8	7	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.10	-11	14	-25	18.4	16.4	1.99	14.7	15.1	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.72,0.62,0.85,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, VAN 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.61,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.9,0.99,1,1	92.6%
LAL 103, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.97,0.98,1	92.4%
DAL 89, LAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.69,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.79,0.78,0.96,1	92.3%