NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	83		Excitement	6.5 [493]		MVP	Bryant Reeves (VAN): +10.1%
Vancouver Grizzlies	91		Comeback	1.4 [704]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -10.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.03	0.06	0.00	8	69%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.07	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.05
Mateen Cleaves	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	13	46%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Curry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	4	45%	-0.06	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	12	42%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.09	-0.00	6	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	15	51%	0.11	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.01	10	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	15	50%	0.05	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	65%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	12	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.8	25.5	15.4	24.1	1.7	32.5	122.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +11.5%

VAN +15.9%

VAN +0.8%

VAN +19.7%

VAN +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	VAN	NBA	DET	VAN	NBA
this game	15.2	17.5	15.5	94.3	103.4	100.9
season	14.3	15.6		97.9	97.4
opponent	15.1	15.4		103.4	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.7	13.7	18.3	14.7	15.2
VAN	17.4	16.9	18.6	17.4	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Montross	29	28	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-11	14	14.6	15.5	-0.87	17.2	17.7	-0.50
Mateen Cleaves	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-8	8	13.5	15.5	-2.00	19.1	17.3	1.79
Billy Owens	23	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-8	8	13.6	15.8	-2.22	16.6	17.9	-1.29
Jud Buechler	29	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-13	18	12.6	16.5	-3.96	16.5	18.1	-1.50
Joe Smith	47	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-13	18	16.0	14.3	1.75	17.4	17.7	-0.28
Dana Barros	32	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-8	8	13.6	16.1	-2.48	16.7	18.0	-1.36
Jerome Williams	47	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-4	0	14.4	16.2	-1.81	17.1	18.0	-0.84
Chucky Atkins	45	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	0	-8	16.8	13.6	3.17	17.8	17.3	0.48
Michael Curry	51	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	2	-12	16.4	13.6	2.78	18.8	16.0	2.79
Jerry Stackhouse	69	68	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.28	-13	5	-18	15.8	13.2	2.54	17.9	16.3	1.52
Ben Wallace	57	59	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.18	-18	10	-28	15.8	14.1	1.76	17.6	17.4	0.16

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	72	71	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.25	13	-5	18	17.6	17.1	0.49	15.6	13.6	1.93
Othella Harrington	54	54	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.16	16	-8	24	17.3	17.8	-0.49	16.0	13.9	2.15
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	77	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-4	16	17.5	17.5	-0.03	15.5	12.8	2.71
Michael Dickerson	61	61	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	1	6	17.9	16.7	1.23	15.2	15.3	-0.13
Bryant Reeves	40	42	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.23	1	7	-6	16.3	18.5	-2.20	14.4	16.0	-1.62
Ike Austin	48	46	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	1	6	18.5	16.3	2.20	16.0	14.4	1.62
Doug West	22	22	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	4	0	16.0	18.0	-2.03	15.3	15.2	0.15
Stromile Swift	14	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	12	-16	18.2	17.4	0.82	12.8	15.6	-2.86
Grant Long	31	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.11	-8	16	-24	17.5	17.5	0.04	14.0	15.9	-1.86
Damon Jones	21	22	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.03	-8	16	-24	17.7	17.5	0.25	14.0	15.6	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.61,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.9,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 93, MIL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.98,1	93.3%
PHI 103, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.72,0.8,0.93,0.94,1,1	93.2%
MIL 98, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.94,0.9,0.97,0.99,1	93.1%