NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	93		Excitement	7.0 [443]		MVP	Juan Dixon (POR): +15.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	97		Comeback	1.6 [950]		LVP	Steve Blake (POR): -25.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Dixon	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.06	0.10	0.01	13	62%	0.22	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	11	75%	0.20	7	-0.17	6	100%	0.05
Viktor Khryapa	0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	0.06	-0.08	0.04	18	62%	0.03	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.09
Joel Przybilla	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.06	0.01	7	61%	0.05	3	-0.11	9	44%	-0.06
Steve Blake	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26	-0.17	-0.09	-0.00	7	0%	-0.19	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	-0.02	0.00	21	66%	0.21	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.03
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	80%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	13	47%	0.10	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	6	69%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.06	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Jermaine Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	1.5	26.8	14.8	23.2	2.4	42.6	141.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +4.0%

MIL +7.6%

MIL +14.6%

MIL +23.5%

MIL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIL	NBA	POR	MIL	NBA
this game	15.2	16.0	15.6	98.9	106.6	104.4
season	16.6	15.5		99.4	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		106.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.0	15.4	14.3	17.1	15.2
MIL	16.1	13.4	19.3	15.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	26	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-4	4	12.7	16.1	-3.46	14.7	16.4	-1.68
Brian Skinner	40	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	0	-4	14.7	15.5	-0.71	13.5	18.1	-4.60
Steve Blake	63	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.35	4	-8	12	15.4	14.6	0.77	16.3	15.5	0.75
Jarrett Jack	34	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	7	-18	15.6	14.9	0.63	15.4	16.4	-0.97
Juan Dixon	42	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.46	5	-9	14	15.3	15.1	0.18	15.0	16.8	-1.80
Viktor Khryapa	52	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	5	-14	15.9	14.2	1.67	17.4	14.0	3.42
Sebastian Telfair	65	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-3	2	15.0	15.4	-0.37	16.0	16.0	-0.02
Joel Przybilla	65	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.44	0	-4	4	15.3	14.8	0.58	17.8	12.5	5.22
Darius Miles	83	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	0	-4	15.2	14.7	0.49	16.0	16.3	-0.35

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Bell	70	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-7	18	15.5	17.8	-2.30	15.8	13.4	2.40
Michael Redd	73	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	-2	8	16.1	15.7	0.40	15.4	14.2	1.23
Joe Smith	37	37	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	-1	6	15.5	16.3	-0.80	16.3	14.4	1.88
T.J. Ford	67	70	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.48	1	3	-2	16.7	14.1	2.53	15.5	14.2	1.33
Bobby Simmons	63	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.31	6	-2	8	16.6	14.5	2.10	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Dan Gadzuric	28	28	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	1	2	14.8	16.5	-1.74	14.4	15.5	-1.14
Andrew Bogut	26	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	4	-4	18.8	14.9	3.95	14.2	15.6	-1.33
Jiri Welsch	36	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.11	2	2	0	14.2	17.2	-2.97	13.8	16.0	-2.21
Jamaal Magloire	45	48	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	11	-18	16.9	15.1	1.74	14.7	15.6	-0.88
Jermaine Jackson	10	11	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.01	-7	11	-18	10.9	16.6	-5.72	15.1	15.2	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, VAN 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.61,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.9,0.99,1,1	93.3%
CHI 93, DEN 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.97,0.98,1	93.0%
SAS 93, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.79,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.86,0.79,0.94,1,1	92.4%