NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	103		Excitement	7.4 [358]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +26.7%
Boston Celtics	110		Comeback	1.4 [942]		LVP	Mark Blount (BOS): -11.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Ollie	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	3	56%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Allen Iverson	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	-0.03	0.05	27	56%	0.08	2	-0.04	18	89%	0.08
Chris Webber	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.04	0.02	0.03	26	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Michael Bradley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	11	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	7	56%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
James Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
John Salmons	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	5	29%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	50%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.11	-0.01	21	59%	0.27	1	-0.00	12	67%	-0.04
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	5	62%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	20	55%	0.14	2	-0.05	7	86%	-0.02
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Justin Reed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.02
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	10	41%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	12	29%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	31.2	16.3	24.6	2.6	41.3	142.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +41.8%

PHI -0.1%

BOS +24.9%

PHI -22.6%

BOS +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.3	14.0	15.6	101.0	107.8	104.4
season	15.2	14.8		104.1	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.3		104.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.9	14.9	14.2	12.2	14.3
BOS	12.9	15.8	14.6	13.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Thomas	11	11	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.02	4	-11	15	13.4	14.4	-1.00	17.1	13.6	3.49
Kevin Ollie	37	37	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-10	13	15.8	13.4	2.44	13.8	14.1	-0.27
Steven Hunter	21	18	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.04	2	-9	11	17.9	13.3	4.54	13.8	14.0	-0.25
Michael Bradley	12	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-9	11	17.6	13.8	3.77	13.7	14.0	-0.28
John Salmons	40	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-11	15	14.4	14.2	0.20	13.1	14.5	-1.37
Kyle Korver	76	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.17	-9	2	-11	14.0	14.9	-0.85	13.3	15.9	-2.61
Chris Webber	90	91	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	2	-11	13.8	17.6	-3.77	14.0	13.7	0.28
Allen Iverson	102	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	14.3	0.0	14.25	14.0	0.0	13.98
Andre Iguodala	56	58	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.24	-12	5	-17	12.7	16.1	-3.42	14.2	13.7	0.53
Samuel Dalembert	65	66	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.26	-13	6	-19	13.9	14.9	-1.08	14.7	12.7	1.99

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	68	67	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.24	15	-8	23	13.7	14.4	-0.69	13.6	15.4	-1.79
Ricky Davis	92	92	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.28	13	-6	19	14.0	13.6	0.42	13.9	17.5	-3.60
Kendrick Perkins	56	58	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-4	15	14.8	13.0	1.75	14.2	14.3	-0.03
Paul Pierce	89	89	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	0	7	13.9	14.8	-0.90	13.7	17.8	-4.03
Delonte West	82	84	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	2	3	13.8	14.5	-0.71	13.7	16.9	-3.27
Orien Greene	25	23	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	7	-7	12.1	14.6	-2.52	14.6	14.2	0.46
Dan Dickau	4	2	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	3	1	2.5	14.4	-11.95	7.0	14.4	-7.40
Justin Reed	1	3	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	10	-13	1.0	14.1	-13.11	5.7	14.5	-8.85
Mark Blount	44	43	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.12	-6	13	-19	15.0	13.2	1.71	15.1	13.7	1.41
Brian Scalabrine	23	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	13	-19	14.3	13.9	0.36	17.7	13.3	4.39
Al Jefferson	26	26	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	12	-17	15.8	13.4	2.40	17.6	13.1	4.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.72,0.8,0.93,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, VAN 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.61,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.9,0.99,1,1	93.2%
ATL 63, CLE 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.95,0.99,1	93.1%
NYK 78, MIL 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.35,0.39,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.9,0.9,1	93.1%