NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	78		Excitement	7.1 [366]		MVP	Michael Curry (MIL): +21.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	82		Comeback	2.2 [496]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -34.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	9	74%	0.19	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Bowie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Herb Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.01	15	67%	0.12	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	10	42%	-0.04	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Charles Oakley	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	8	33%	-0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	-0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.35	-0.10	-0.24	0.01	17	52%	-0.13	6	-0.21	6	100%	0.05

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.14	0.00	4	100%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.06	20	48%	0.09	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	10	71%	0.09	6	-0.15	4	75%	-0.01
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	8	52%	0.05	2	-0.16	7	57%	-0.05
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	18	37%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	27.2	15.6	26.3	2.6	35.1	131.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +43.8%

NYK -9.8%

NYK -1.5%

MIL +15.8%

MIL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	15.8	16.4	15.6	86.7	92.1	102.5
season	15.7	16.0		100.4	101.1
opponent	15.1	16.3		102.8	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.2	13.7	15.8	17.6	15.8
MIL	17.3	18.4	14.8	15.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mills	49	46	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.15	-3	-1	-2	15.2	16.5	-1.22	15.9	16.9	-0.97
Anthony Bowie	0	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-4	4	0.0	15.8	-15.80	17.0	16.4	0.62
Chris Dudley	34	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-4	4	15.0	16.3	-1.29	17.8	15.4	2.38
Herb Williams	6	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	0	-4	17.0	15.7	1.29	19.5	16.2	3.34
Charlie Ward	37	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	5	-14	16.9	15.1	1.81	17.2	15.8	1.46
Chris Childs	53	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.44	5	-9	14	15.1	16.9	-1.81	15.8	17.2	-1.46
Charles Oakley	75	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-4	4	15.6	16.7	-1.04	15.9	18.4	-2.44
John Starks	49	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.38	1	-5	6	16.1	15.5	0.57	17.0	15.7	1.30
Allan Houston	77	77	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.39	-8	4	-12	16.0	14.6	1.38	16.2	17.8	-1.68
Larry Johnson	70	71	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.59	-2	-2	0	16.3	14.2	2.06	16.0	17.8	-1.82

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	73	73	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.46	7	-3	10	16.1	17.6	-1.44	15.8	15.9	-0.17
Tyrone Hill	72	73	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.40	8	-4	12	16.5	16.1	0.40	16.0	14.9	1.06
Glenn Robinson	77	80	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	-2	8	16.5	15.7	0.83	15.5	17.8	-2.25
Terrell Brandon	77	77	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.36	2	2	0	16.0	19.1	-3.12	15.6	16.8	-1.22
Michael Curry	40	41	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.48	-4	8	-12	16.3	16.4	-0.15	15.3	16.2	-0.98
Ray Allen	54	54	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.13	12	-8	20	16.0	16.9	-0.88	16.7	14.4	2.35
Elliot Perry	15	15	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.05	-2	6	-8	19.4	15.8	3.63	16.7	15.6	1.04
Ricky Pierce	21	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	9	-14	16.5	16.3	0.19	15.0	16.0	-1.04
Armen Gilliam	16	16	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.04	-4	8	-12	17.1	16.2	0.83	15.6	15.9	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.35,0.39,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.9,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 103, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.72,0.8,0.93,0.94,1,1	93.1%
CHA 96, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.8,0.71,0.85,0.95,1	92.8%
CHA 81, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.84,1	92.4%