NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	102		Excitement	8.3 [204]		MVP	Shandon Anderson (HOU): +32.1%
Houston Rockets	111		Comeback	1.8 [633]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -36.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.01	0.18	-0.01	8	44%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	0.19
Dirk Nowitzki	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.09	0.01	14	54%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.01	12	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Michael Finley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.12	-0.10	-0.01	22	64%	0.05	1	-0.01	11	82%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	7	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	5	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Steve Nash	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hubert Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	9	45%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.01	0.30	-0.01	13	50%	0.37	1	-0.05	2	50%	0.14
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.08	0.03	11	91%	0.25	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.14	0.00	12	71%	0.26	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.14	0.03	9	76%	0.22	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	79%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	8	38%	-0.09	4	-0.13	5	80%	-0.02
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.36	-0.36	-0.13	-0.23	0.01	19	38%	-0.25	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	25.4	16.7	25.0	1.8	45.2	141.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +70.3%

DAL -4.7%

HOU +9.5%

DAL -31.3%

HOU +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.8	16.3	15.2	108.5	122.0	101.7
season	14.8	15.4		104.2	102.4
opponent	14.6	14.8		103.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.5	16.5	13.9	16.6	14.8
HOU	15.8	14.8	19.7	15.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	21	21	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.06	6	-15	21	12.2	15.6	-3.32	15.3	16.6	-1.31
Dirk Nowitzki	58	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-4	-1	14.6	15.2	-0.61	16.6	15.8	0.77
Steve Nash	55	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-3	-3	14.7	15.0	-0.31	16.8	15.7	1.04
Shawn Bradley	35	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.18	-1	-8	7	15.2	14.6	0.56	17.8	15.5	2.27
Greg Buckner	55	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-2	-5	14.3	15.6	-1.32	16.2	16.6	-0.45
Damon Jones	32	31	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-2	-5	15.7	14.4	1.27	14.6	17.2	-2.57
Michael Finley	90	87	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-2	-5	14.7	17.2	-2.54	16.6	11.0	5.59
Erick Strickland	72	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	-3	-3	15.5	12.7	2.79	16.3	16.4	-0.11
Hubert Davis	56	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.19	-13	4	-17	15.4	14.0	1.33	15.9	17.0	-1.14

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	56	58	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.23	12	-3	15	15.9	17.1	-1.26	15.4	13.9	1.55
Moochie Norris	42	42	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.18	12	-3	15	15.5	17.1	-1.65	15.3	14.4	0.93
Shandon Anderson	84	86	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	0	9	16.4	15.7	0.68	14.8	14.6	0.21
Steve Francis	77	81	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	5	-1	16.5	15.6	0.91	14.9	14.2	0.68
Walt Williams	67	69	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	3	3	16.6	15.6	1.03	15.1	14.2	0.90
Kenny Thomas	62	65	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.15	3	6	-3	16.4	16.2	0.20	14.1	16.5	-2.46
Matt Bullard	26	26	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	3	3	15.0	16.9	-1.82	15.7	14.5	1.15
Kelvin Cato	41	43	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.02	-7	16	-23	17.8	15.1	2.71	13.6	15.9	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 101, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.84,1	92.8%
BOS 96, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	92.5%
NYK 93, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.83,0.76,0.85,0.95,0.99,1	92.5%