NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	7.7 [288]		MVP	Mo Williams (CLE): +14.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	1.1 [1054]		LVP	David Lee (NYK): -10.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.03	19	59%	0.15	2	-0.10	6	83%	-0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	0.00	12	47%	0.06	3	-0.08	6	67%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	21	47%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	17	42%	-0.04	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	16	30%	-0.07	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	13	79%	0.26	3	-0.11	3	67%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	6	50%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.05
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.07	-0.02	9	35%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	17	51%	0.07	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	12	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Delonte West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	14	43%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.5	27.5	15.8	23.3	2.4	33.5	126.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +55.8%

CLE +0.1%

NYK -7.6%

NYK -4.3%

CLE +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	13.9	17.3	15.5	101.1	105.4	106.4
season	13.8	16.9		106.2	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.5		101.0	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.6	13.0	14.3	15.7	13.9
CLE	17.4	17.0	17.6	17.0	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	38	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-7	9	13.3	14.3	-1.01	18.0	16.7	1.28
Quentin Richardson	29	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-8	11	11.9	14.8	-2.87	18.8	16.6	2.18
Danilo Gallinari	12	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-3	1	12.0	14.1	-2.14	18.1	17.1	0.95
Nate Robinson	76	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-6	7	14.1	12.6	1.57	16.9	19.1	-2.24
David Lee	73	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.36	1	-6	7	13.8	13.9	-0.11	16.8	19.0	-2.16
Wilson Chandler	82	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	4	-13	13.8	14.1	-0.27	17.2	17.6	-0.38
Al Harrington	77	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	0	-5	14.3	11.5	2.78	17.3	17.1	0.16
Larry Hughes	73	74	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.29	-16	11	-27	14.5	11.2	3.34	17.0	18.4	-1.40

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	78	78	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-6	17	17.2	17.7	-0.49	14.0	13.1	0.84
Delonte West	71	70	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.39	1	4	-3	16.7	19.0	-2.22	13.7	14.4	-0.66
Anderson Varejao	60	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.20	6	-1	7	16.7	18.2	-1.48	14.3	13.1	1.15
Sasha Pavlovic	50	49	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	4	-3	17.4	17.0	0.39	13.9	13.8	0.08
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	50	50	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	-1	7	17.5	16.9	0.61	15.2	12.2	2.98
LeBron James	78	76	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	6	-7	16.9	19.1	-2.24	14.1	12.6	1.57
Joe Smith	34	35	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	4	-3	18.1	16.8	1.26	12.2	14.9	-2.72
Darnell Jackson	14	14	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	2	1	18.4	17.1	1.29	11.1	14.4	-3.29
Wally Szczerbiak	30	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	8	-11	18.5	16.7	1.83	13.3	14.1	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.83,0.76,0.85,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 115, UTA 119	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.83,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	93.5%
CLE 84, WAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.94,0.98,1,1	93.2%
MIN 92, DEN 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.92,0.91,0.99,1	93.1%