NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Excitement	7.2 [369]		MVP	Fred Hoiberg (MIN): +32.9%
Denver Nuggets	101		Comeback	1.2 [979]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIN): -30.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.14	0.17	-0.02	8	94%	0.33	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.03	9	64%	0.02	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Kevin Garnett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	12	67%	0.07	3	-0.09	12	92%	0.05
Gary Trent	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	2	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	0.00	16	27%	-0.16	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	10	30%	-0.05	7	-0.26	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.04	-0.00	15	66%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	7	67%	0.12	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	3	83%	0.08	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	4	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.06	-0.02	12	39%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	18	49%	-0.08	1	-0.03	15	87%	0.05
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	14	27%	-0.12	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	32.5	16.0	29.0	1.5	36.4	143.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -23.5%

DEN +17.8%

DEN +3.1%

DEN +44.5%

DEN +8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DEN	NBA	MIN	DEN	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	15.7	95.8	105.2	100.5
season	15.6	14.9		103.2	101.6
opponent	15.4	16.1		101.1	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.6	15.7	14.3	14.0	14.6
DEN	16.0	16.3	17.0	12.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	25	26	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-12	15	15.8	14.2	1.67	15.1	15.5	-0.44
Michael Olowokandi	24	24	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-8	7	15.1	14.4	0.69	15.5	15.3	0.19
Wally Szczerbiak	56	55	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-6	3	14.5	14.7	-0.21	13.7	17.7	-3.99
Troy Hudson	23	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-11	13	13.3	15.0	-1.77	13.5	16.0	-2.47
Gary Trent	14	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-7	5	14.4	14.6	-0.29	9.9	16.3	-6.40
Sam Cassell	55	57	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-12	15	15.3	13.7	1.57	16.6	13.6	2.96
Trenton Hassell	46	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-4	-1	14.7	14.5	0.22	18.1	13.1	4.93
Kevin Garnett	78	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	0	-9	14.5	15.2	-0.76	15.7	14.1	1.62
Fred Hoiberg	59	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	-1	-7	13.5	16.3	-2.75	13.6	18.0	-4.39
Ervin Johnson	33	33	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	0	-9	15.3	14.3	1.02	17.8	14.1	3.74
Latrell Sprewell	67	67	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.19	-16	7	-23	14.7	14.4	0.27	15.9	14.3	1.56

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	77	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-3	15	15.8	13.9	1.81	15.1	13.0	2.05
Carmelo Anthony	83	84	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.29	6	3	3	15.9	12.1	3.84	14.5	15.2	-0.64
Earl Boykins	62	62	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	3	3	15.8	14.7	1.02	14.9	14.1	0.84
Nene	64	65	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	4	1	16.4	13.3	3.08	15.5	12.8	2.70
Jon Barry	43	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	5	-1	13.5	16.9	-3.41	14.1	15.1	-0.95
Voshon Lenard	24	23	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	2	5	16.0	15.2	0.81	14.6	14.6	0.01
Francisco Elson	26	28	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	9	-9	15.5	15.4	0.09	13.2	15.2	-2.01
Michael Doleac	39	37	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	10	-11	12.9	17.1	-4.21	13.8	15.1	-1.29
Rodney White	20	20	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	7	-5	11.3	16.5	-5.11	12.4	15.2	-2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.92,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 96, ATL 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.78,0.98,1	93.9%
ORL 87, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.97,0.9,1	93.5%
NYK 72, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.91,0.76,0.85,0.95,0.98,1	93.4%