NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	72		Excitement	6.7 [461]		MVP	Bryce Drew (CHI): +15.1%
Chicago Bulls	81		Comeback	1.4 [310]		LVP	Mark Jackson (NYK): -20.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.02	9	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	19	52%	-0.00	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.07
Larry Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.01	16	40%	-0.10	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Glen Rice	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	9	22%	-0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.07	0.01	9	71%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	81%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	11	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.01	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	1	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	11	33%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	19	50%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	4	0%	-0.12	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	27.2	15.6	26.2	2.0	29.2	125.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +45.0%

CHI +1.0%

CHI +10.2%

NYK -3.4%

NYK -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	14.8	17.8	15.5	81.8	91.0	100.9
season	16.4	16.4		99.2	95.2
opponent	15.1	16.1		104.9	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.5	13.6	15.7	15.4	14.8
CHI	15.5	18.5	18.6	18.7	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	30	29	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-10	11	14.2	15.1	-0.85	19.4	17.0	2.45
Kurt Thomas	60	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.15	-2	-7	5	14.9	14.4	0.59	17.4	18.7	-1.35
Mark Jackson	35	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-2	-5	15.4	14.3	1.11	16.4	18.7	-2.31
Charlie Ward	53	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-7	5	14.3	15.4	-1.11	18.7	16.4	2.31
Allan Houston	75	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-5	1	14.3	17.6	-3.35	18.0	15.9	2.12
Latrell Sprewell	73	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-3	-3	14.6	15.3	-0.69	17.6	18.4	-0.76
Glen Rice	54	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.18	-10	1	-11	15.1	14.2	0.91	17.7	17.8	-0.11
Larry Johnson	60	59	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.20	-15	6	-21	15.3	13.6	1.69	17.2	18.8	-1.56

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce Drew	58	55	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.27	13	-4	17	17.0	19.1	-2.09	15.9	12.9	2.92
Fred Hoiberg	74	73	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.23	13	-4	17	17.2	20.6	-3.41	15.1	13.1	2.04
Brad Miller	68	66	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.31	9	0	9	17.0	20.2	-3.24	15.5	12.5	3.08
Metta World Peace	65	63	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.24	4	5	-1	18.5	15.7	2.76	15.0	14.2	0.73
Elton Brand	73	71	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	6	-3	17.6	18.4	-0.82	15.2	13.1	2.11
Michael Ruffin	16	17	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	3	3	18.4	17.6	0.82	13.1	15.2	-2.11
Corey Benjamin	39	40	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	8	-7	17.6	17.9	-0.26	13.8	15.6	-1.76
Marcus Fizer	21	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.07	0	9	-9	20.2	17.0	3.24	12.5	15.5	-3.08
Jamal Crawford	31	33	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.04	-4	13	-17	19.1	17.0	2.09	12.9	15.9	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.91,0.76,0.85,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 87, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.97,0.9,1	93.7%
MIN 92, DEN 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.92,0.91,0.99,1	93.4%
HOU 79, NOH 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.98,1	92.9%