NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	96		Excitement	6.5 [502]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +24.3%
Atlanta Hawks	102		Comeback	1.5 [1023]		LVP	Luc Mbah a Moute (MIL): -8.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.09	0.01	12	66%	0.19	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Richard Jefferson	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	20	50%	0.11	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.05
Ramon Sessions	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.06	0.00	15	64%	0.16	2	-0.15	3	100%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Francisco Elson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Alexander	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	11	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.04	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.18	0.02	12	72%	0.32	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.10	0.00	8	69%	0.21	0	0.00	10	90%	0.06
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.05	0.02	11	67%	0.16	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	14	56%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	37%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	30.9	14.8	27.1	2.5	35.2	140.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +36.9%

ATL +11.1%

MIL -7.6%

ATL +10.7%

MIL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	16.4	15.5	105.5	112.1	106.4
season	15.0	15.8		104.9	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.6		106.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.4	16.4	14.8	12.7	15.2
ATL	16.0	17.0	16.5	16.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Elson	14	14	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-11	16	14.0	15.5	-1.47	16.6	16.4	0.19
Tyronn Lue	16	15	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-8	10	14.6	15.4	-0.82	16.2	16.4	-0.25
Joe Alexander	40	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-10	14	14.8	15.6	-0.83	17.4	15.7	1.76
Luc Mbah a Moute	64	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.24	4	-10	14	14.7	16.5	-1.82	16.3	16.6	-0.21
Ramon Sessions	70	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.41	7	-13	20	14.0	19.3	-5.26	16.9	14.7	2.12
Dan Gadzuric	32	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	6	-18	18.8	13.3	5.51	15.9	16.7	-0.82
Luke Ridnour	36	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	8	-22	17.3	13.9	3.37	15.9	16.7	-0.76
Charlie Bell	60	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	1	-8	15.6	14.5	1.10	16.2	16.8	-0.66
Charlie Villanueva	43	43	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	3	-12	14.1	16.3	-2.22	16.2	16.6	-0.42
Richard Jefferson	80	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	4	-14	15.3	14.6	0.69	16.3	17.5	-1.23

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	61	61	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.25	12	-6	18	15.7	17.8	-2.13	15.3	15.2	0.11
Joe Johnson	73	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	-1	8	16.2	17.3	-1.09	15.3	14.8	0.51
Marvin Williams	84	84	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.38	1	5	-4	16.5	15.1	1.37	15.2	16.0	-0.82
Mike Bibby	69	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	5	-4	17.0	14.5	2.57	15.0	15.9	-0.88
Ronald Murray	61	61	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.30	-1	7	-8	16.7	15.8	0.95	13.2	19.3	-6.10
Zaza Pachulia	19	19	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	0	6	13.6	17.2	-3.57	19.0	14.2	4.75
Acie Law	22	22	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	4	-2	16.0	16.6	-0.60	15.5	15.2	0.28
Maurice Evans	38	38	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	2	2	17.7	15.5	2.24	15.9	14.8	1.17
Mario West	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	8	-10	6.0	16.5	-10.52	12.0	15.3	-3.28
Solomon Jones	27	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	6	-6	16.9	16.2	0.63	16.5	14.7	1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.78,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, DEN 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.92,0.91,0.99,1	93.9%
IND 94, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.76,0.85,1	93.0%
HOU 79, NOH 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.98,1	92.8%