NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	7.5 [326]		MVP	Jalen Rose (IND): +18.8%
Boston Celtics	98		Comeback	1.3 [1030]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -17.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.12	0.01	16	62%	0.24	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.09	0.08	-0.01	-0.03	17	63%	0.16	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.05
Jeff Foster	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Travis Best	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	5	30%	0.00	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	10	32%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	15	47%	-0.11	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.10
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.04	0.00	11	81%	0.20	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	0.00	16	49%	0.11	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.01	9	44%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	7	63%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	6	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	15	35%	-0.06	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.02	0.01	15	50%	-0.00	5	-0.14	10	60%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	27.9	15.0	25.2	2.7	32.3	129.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +22.8%

BOS +3.1%

BOS +14.7%

BOS +5.9%

BOS +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	14.8	15.1	15.6	97.9	101.0	102.3
season	15.3	15.0		101.6	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.4		98.8	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.2	14.5	15.2	15.2	14.8
BOS	14.0	17.5	13.6	15.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	41	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-4	4	13.9	15.4	-1.52	15.7	14.6	1.09
Austin Croshere	25	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	0	-4	17.2	13.9	3.23	14.0	15.5	-1.46
Jalen Rose	77	76	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.34	3	-7	10	14.4	16.3	-1.93	15.3	14.3	0.94
Jermaine O'Neal	70	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-5	6	13.9	17.0	-3.06	15.3	14.4	0.97
Jeff Foster	33	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	3	-10	17.2	13.5	3.72	14.3	15.5	-1.21
Al Harrington	60	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	2	-8	15.5	13.5	2.03	14.9	15.3	-0.36
Jonathan Bender	44	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-5	6	13.8	15.6	-1.84	15.5	14.6	0.89
Reggie Miller	75	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	0	-4	14.0	17.4	-3.34	15.2	14.7	0.41
Travis Best	55	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	0	-4	15.4	13.9	1.52	14.6	15.7	-1.09

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	51	50	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	-3	10	15.0	15.2	-0.23	16.0	13.5	2.52
Antoine Walker	93	89	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	0	4	15.3	10.7	4.51	14.8	14.9	-0.09
Paul Pierce	78	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	2	0	15.0	15.5	-0.50	14.4	16.3	-1.93
Vitaly Potapenko	57	56	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	-2	8	15.3	14.7	0.55	15.1	14.3	0.72
Kenny Anderson	77	77	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	3	-2	15.5	13.4	2.11	13.9	18.5	-4.62
Eric Williams	48	49	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	-1	6	15.1	15.1	0.02	15.8	13.7	2.09
Tony Battie	40	40	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	6	-8	14.7	15.3	-0.55	14.3	15.1	-0.72
Joe Johnson	24	26	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	5	-6	14.2	15.3	-1.09	16.5	14.1	2.37
Walter McCarty	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	4	-4	0.0	15.1	-15.07	5.0	14.9	-9.87
Kedrick Brown	17	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	6	-8	14.0	15.3	-1.30	12.0	15.3	-3.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.76,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 100, TOR 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.95,1	93.1%
MIL 96, ATL 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.78,0.98,1	93.0%
GSW 83, BOS 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.95,0.91,1	92.9%