inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 79 Excitement7.9 [267] MVPJonas Jerebko (DET): +11.7%
Denver Nuggets 89 Comeback1.9 [780] LVPKentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): -27.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.050.06-0.01570%0.1200.0000%0.00
D.J. Augustin0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.001062%0.133-0.12475%0.01
Josh Smith-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0-0.03-0.00-0.022245%0.022-0.031164%-0.03
Spencer Dinwiddie-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kyle Singler-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05-0.00-0.040.00757%0.022-0.0700%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.010.021100%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Andre Drummond-0.100,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.02-0.060.011046%-0.031-0.07425%-0.04
Brandon Jennings-0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.040.01450%-0.013-0.1000%0.00
Caron Butler-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.04-0.0150%-0.111-0.0200%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.270,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27-0.19-0.13-0.041918%-0.231-0.0500%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenneth Faried0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.070.031269%0.193-0.08875%0.02
Alonzo Gee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.090.090.020.06-0.01275%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.020.00450%0.041-0.04250%-0.02
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.11,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.010.00650%0.051-0.052100%0.02
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.05-0.01-0.05835%0.021-0.024100%0.02
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00433%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.03-0.011643%-0.001-0.03333%-0.01
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00250%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00644%0.002-0.054100%0.04
Timofey Mozgov0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.050.011148%-0.022-0.08560%-0.02
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.03-0.02714%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.11-0.080.02719%-0.152-0.06250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.21.628.917.627.72.335.7139.9
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET -0.7%
DEN +22.3%
DEN +19.5%
DEN +6.6%
DEN +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETDENNBADETDENNBA
this game16.113.915.181.493.7104.2
season15.714.6104.0103.4
opponent15.315.3106.6105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.114.518.716.116.1
DEN14.316.112.612.713.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jonas Jerebko27250.07-0.570.64-0.023-131613.816.9-3.1314.913.51.38
Spencer Dinwiddie1615-0.04-0.460.410.04-3-7415.016.3-1.2814.013.90.11
Andre Drummond5152-0.12-0.380.26-0.213-131616.515.60.8815.412.13.27
Caron Butler5045-0.18-0.320.13-0.10-3-7415.516.6-1.1013.314.4-1.09
Brandon Jennings3839-0.24-0.260.03-0.03-7-3-417.715.02.6513.314.3-1.01
D.J. Augustin5956-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.18-3-7415.017.7-2.6514.313.31.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope7171-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.24-4-6216.016.2-0.1614.312.81.43
Joel Anthony4643-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.00-133-1615.616.5-0.8812.115.4-3.27
Kyle Singler5759-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.12-100-1016.914.91.9913.913.9-0.06
Josh Smith7070-0.570.07-0.64-0.19-133-1616.913.83.1313.514.9-1.38

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Arron Afflalo77790.73-0.230.950.1719-92813.714.7-0.9416.613.82.75
Alonzo Gee25250.420.080.340.1882612.714.3-1.6616.116.10.06
Ty Lawson65660.380.120.270.091001014.013.70.2516.315.60.67
Timofey Mozgov49490.380.120.260.1291814.912.82.0916.215.90.35
Kenneth Faried55560.160.34-0.170.0546-214.313.40.8715.816.5-0.68
Wilson Chandler48480.160.34-0.190.18-111-1213.714.1-0.4016.116.00.06
Randy Foye31320.120.38-0.270.12010-1013.814.0-0.1915.716.3-0.62
Danilo Gallinari34360.110.39-0.28-0.0455015.413.12.2516.116.10.02
Darrell Arthur33340.100.40-0.310.0137-412.814.5-1.7615.916.1-0.20
JaVale McGee18190.060.44-0.380.06010-1013.214.1-0.8415.816.1-0.35
Jusuf Nurkic27280.060.44-0.390.0319-812.514.5-1.9915.916.1-0.20
Nate Robinson1313-0.170.67-0.840.07-818-2615.613.61.9814.316.3-2.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.71,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.84,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 95, NOP 1010.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.45,0.58,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.9,0.98,192.5%
NYK 108, MIL 1130.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.64,0.95,0.96,192.4%
SAS 81, SAC 860.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.62,0.52,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.78,0.9,0.91,192.4%