NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	108		Excitement	8.1 [252]		MVP	Mo Williams (MIL): +23.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	113		Comeback	2.2 [806]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): -22.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.11	-0.00	12	61%	0.23	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.05
Maurice Taylor	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	0.01	11	72%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.09	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.05
Jerome James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01	0.01	0.02	0.04	15	57%	0.08	4	-0.09	10	90%	0.04
David Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	10	48%	-0.01	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.11,-0.06,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	15	28%	-0.16	1	-0.06	2	0%	-0.09

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.11	0.04	17	73%	0.31	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.03
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.11	-0.00	14	55%	0.17	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	0.00	5	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	6	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.05	0.01	17	51%	0.12	1	-0.05	9	89%	0.05
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	62%	0.06	4	-0.10	12	42%	-0.12
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	7	12%	-0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	1.5	33.5	15.7	24.0	1.8	42.1	147.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +27.4%

MIL +0.7%

MIL +6.6%

MIL +15.4%

NYK -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	13.6	15.5	15.6	109.1	114.1	104.4
season	15.7	15.5		102.1	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		106.0	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.3	12.7	15.3	12.8	13.6
MIL	14.5	15.0	19.7	13.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	60	61	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.11	9	-14	23	13.5	13.8	-0.35	17.1	12.9	4.20
Malik Rose	7	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-5	5	10.0	13.9	-3.91	12.8	15.6	-2.79
Jerome James	5	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-1	-3	16.8	13.5	3.33	8.2	15.8	-7.64
Maurice Taylor	40	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-4	3	15.0	12.7	2.33	16.7	14.6	2.06
Trevor Ariza	22	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	1	-7	15.5	13.1	2.34	15.7	15.4	0.31
David Lee	74	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-7	9	12.8	16.1	-3.27	14.9	17.0	-2.15
Nate Robinson	64	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-3	1	13.4	14.1	-0.70	16.4	13.6	2.75
Channing Frye	40	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-4	3	13.4	13.8	-0.31	15.2	15.6	-0.34
Antonio Davis	30	32	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	5	-15	14.7	13.2	1.57	15.7	15.4	0.30
Jamal Crawford	69	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	-2	-1	13.4	14.1	-0.71	14.5	17.6	-3.14
Stephon Marbury	84	84	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.33	-9	4	-13	13.5	14.4	-0.90	14.8	19.0	-4.18

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Redd	91	91	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-6	17	14.7	23.6	-8.89	13.6	14.2	-0.67
Jiri Welsch	47	48	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	1	3	14.8	16.0	-1.23	13.8	13.5	0.26
Bobby Simmons	75	75	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.38	2	3	-1	15.3	16.1	-0.83	12.9	15.9	-3.01
Jamaal Magloire	65	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	-4	13	15.6	15.2	0.38	13.7	13.6	0.10
Mo Williams	73	73	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	2	1	16.2	13.5	2.70	13.5	14.0	-0.49
Dan Gadzuric	27	26	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	3	-1	15.9	15.3	0.55	13.8	13.6	0.23
Toni Kukoc	37	37	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	2	1	15.9	15.2	0.78	15.0	12.8	2.22
Jermaine Jackson	32	33	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.30	-7	12	-19	15.0	15.7	-0.63	13.2	13.8	-0.64
Andrew Bogut	48	48	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.05	-2	7	-9	16.2	14.8	1.42	14.0	13.3	0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.64,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 76, UTA 83	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.69,0.64,0.91,0.99,1	93.5%
DET 79, DEN 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.71,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.84,1,1	92.4%
CHI 104, BOS 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.89,1,1	92.3%