NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	76		Excitement	7.3 [350]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (HOU): +25.1%
Utah Jazz	83		Comeback	1.9 [746]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -32.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25	0.07	0.17	-0.00	6	75%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.01	11	57%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.05	11	64%	0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	8	17%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Yao Ming	-0.16	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	15	43%	-0.14	1	-0.01	16	87%	0.05
Kelvin Cato	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	0.00	6	14%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Steve Francis	-0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	15	42%	-0.03	8	-0.29	1	100%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14	0.14	-0.03	0.14	-0.02	20	50%	0.19	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
Raul Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,0.06,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.11	-0.00	7	71%	0.21	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.00	10	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	7	57%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	80%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	7	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.07	0.02	11	37%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	28.2	15.5	26.4	1.7	31.2	131.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +57.2%

HOU -20.9%

UTA +5.8%

UTA +6.7%

UTA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	16.9	17.8	15.7	91.6	100.0	100.5
season	16.5	17.2		98.8	99.4
opponent	15.2	15.6		100.8	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.1	18.6	15.7	15.3	16.9
UTA	15.5	20.4	17.8	18.1	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	6	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	-1	-5	19.3	16.7	2.66	8.2	18.6	-10.42
Moochie Norris	19	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-3	-1	19.3	16.2	3.11	19.4	17.4	2.06
Jim Jackson	54	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-4	1	16.6	17.3	-0.73	16.5	20.4	-3.81
Yao Ming	54	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-6	5	16.2	18.1	-1.95	18.9	15.9	2.97
Kelvin Cato	58	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-3	-1	16.9	16.8	0.04	19.1	15.2	3.90
Cuttino Mobley	69	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-3	-1	17.0	16.2	0.79	18.7	13.3	5.36
Maurice Taylor	45	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-4	1	17.8	15.8	1.99	16.4	19.6	-3.17
Steve Francis	68	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	0	-7	16.7	17.6	-0.89	17.4	19.6	-2.16
Eric Piatkowski	42	41	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-4	1	15.7	18.1	-2.38	18.0	17.7	0.29

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	44	43	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-5	17	17.5	18.3	-0.80	17.1	16.6	0.56
Andrei Kirilenko	73	72	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.24	12	-5	17	17.6	19.5	-1.90	16.8	17.5	-0.68
Raul Lopez	38	38	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	1	5	18.1	17.6	0.55	16.9	16.9	0.00
Greg Ostertag	50	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	4	-1	18.7	16.5	2.18	15.9	18.3	-2.33
Matt Harpring	69	69	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.26	0	7	-7	18.7	13.4	5.30	16.7	17.8	-1.10
Curtis Borchardt	33	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	3	1	16.5	18.7	-2.18	18.3	15.9	2.33
Mo Williams	45	45	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	6	-5	17.6	18.1	-0.55	16.9	16.9	-0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	54	55	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	5	-3	16.7	20.0	-3.33	16.8	17.0	-0.15
Sasha Pavlovic	9	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	12	-17	21.7	17.4	4.30	17.9	16.7	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.69,0.64,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 108, MIL 113	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.64,0.95,0.96,1	93.5%
CHA 89, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.96,1	93.0%
LAL 92, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.52,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.68,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.6%