NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	92		Excitement	7.3 [353]		MVP	Derrick Williams (SAC): +20.9%
Sacramento Kings	102		Comeback	1.7 [686]		LVP	Jabari Brown (LAL): -13.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	21	52%	0.16	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.00
Tarik Black	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vander Blue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.14,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Carlos Boozer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	10	40%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	10	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Ryan Kelly	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	23%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	0.03	19	47%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Brown	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.01	-0.09	0.03	17	45%	-0.09	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.13	-0.00	12	61%	0.25	1	-0.04	9	78%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	-0.00	7	71%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.08	0.03	14	63%	0.18	2	-0.03	13	77%	0.02
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.01	7	78%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	11	50%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	0.00	7	44%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.3	27.5	15.4	27.4	2.3	28.5	124.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +30.8%

SAC +41.6%

LAL -34.0%

SAC +16.5%

LAL -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	16.8	13.7	15.1	97.9	107.4	104.2
season	15.5	14.9		101.9	103.7
opponent	14.8	14.7		107.6	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.1	16.6	20.0	15.0	16.8
SAC	13.9	11.7	13.6	15.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tarik Black	47	47	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.02	6	-16	22	17.3	16.4	0.89	13.6	13.7	-0.13
Ryan Kelly	51	51	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-7	4	16.9	16.7	0.24	14.4	12.8	1.62
Jordan Hill	54	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-9	8	16.8	16.9	-0.12	14.2	13.0	1.21
Jabari Brown	91	92	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-6	2	16.8	16.3	0.51	13.7	12.0	1.72
Carlos Boozer	40	41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-1	-8	16.9	16.8	0.12	13.0	14.2	-1.21
Jordan Clarkson	92	94	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	-1	-8	17.1	5.0	12.09	13.6	23.0	-9.44
Vander Blue	52	52	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.14	-15	5	-20	15.8	18.1	-2.24	13.5	13.9	-0.36
Ed Davis	43	44	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.19	-15	5	-20	16.8	16.8	0.01	13.2	14.1	-0.94

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	52	52	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-4	18	13.8	13.5	0.23	16.9	16.8	0.12
Derrick Williams	57	58	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-2	14	13.6	13.8	-0.17	16.4	17.4	-1.00
Ray McCallum	56	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.20	5	5	0	14.4	12.6	1.86	16.1	18.0	-1.92
Nik Stauskas	45	43	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	0	10	12.5	14.7	-2.27	16.5	17.1	-0.67
Jason Thompson	60	61	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	4	2	14.1	12.9	1.19	17.2	16.2	1.05
Omri Casspi	70	71	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	5	0	13.8	13.2	0.68	17.1	16.0	1.10
Ryan Hollins	35	33	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	6	-2	12.9	14.1	-1.19	16.2	17.2	-1.05
Ben McLemore	62	60	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	14	-18	13.5	13.9	-0.33	17.4	15.7	1.71
Carl Landry	38	36	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	12	-14	13.8	13.6	0.17	17.4	16.4	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.52,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.68,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 81, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%
UTA 97, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	92.7%
HOU 76, UTA 83	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.69,0.64,0.91,0.99,1	92.6%