NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	104		Excitement	7.3 [396]		MVP	Jonathan Gibson (BOS): +22.5%
Boston Celtics	111		Comeback	3.0 [755]		LVP	Justin Holiday (CHI): -28.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Kilpatrick	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.06	13	80%	0.21	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.00	-0.03	11	77%	0.18	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	12	58%	0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Cameron Payne	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	9	61%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	29%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Ryan Arcidiacono	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	4	62%	0.06	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
David Nwaba	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	14	36%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28	-0.19	-0.10	-0.00	11	23%	-0.15	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.15	0.00	6	75%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.00	10	83%	0.29	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.12	0.00	5	70%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Bird	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	10	65%	0.14	2	-0.06	3	0%	-0.05
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.17	-0.01	0.09	19	74%	0.17	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Marcus Morris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	12	46%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Aron Baynes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kadeem Allen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	6	43%	-0.04	1	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	25.8	14.0	25.4	2.4	27.4	120.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +55.0%

CHI -6.6%

BOS +9.7%

CHI -10.4%

BOS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	13.2	14.7	14.7	101.0	107.8	107.5
season	14.2	15.1		103.2	106.4
opponent	14.7	15.0		103.5	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.8	14.3	13.5	11.5	13.2
BOS	13.4	15.1	15.3	15.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	27	27	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.09	6	-13	19	15.1	12.6	2.48	14.7	14.7	0.03
Lauri Markkanen	53	52	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-6	5	12.8	13.8	-1.01	14.7	14.7	-0.01
Omer Asik	29	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-3	-1	16.3	12.0	4.27	15.0	14.6	0.45
Ryan Arcidiacono	55	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.38	7	-14	21	12.8	13.7	-0.95	14.8	14.6	0.26
Sean Kilpatrick	52	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-10	13	12.9	13.6	-0.76	15.0	14.4	0.51
David Nwaba	56	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	0	-7	13.6	12.9	0.68	14.7	14.8	-0.08
Cameron Payne	48	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	7	-21	13.7	12.8	0.95	14.6	14.8	-0.26
Jerian Grant	61	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-4	1	13.2	13.3	-0.03	14.6	14.8	-0.16
Cristiano Felicio	66	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	1	-9	12.3	15.0	-2.74	14.6	14.9	-0.33
Justin Holiday	68	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	7	-21	12.6	14.5	-1.93	14.6	15.0	-0.40

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Bird	52	51	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	-1	9	14.1	15.3	-1.18	13.7	12.8	0.88
Terry Rozier	63	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	-8	23	14.1	15.6	-1.52	13.0	13.6	-0.63
Jaylen Brown	65	67	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	-2	11	14.5	15.1	-0.65	12.5	14.6	-2.15
Greg Monroe	54	53	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	3	1	15.6	13.7	1.88	15.1	11.3	3.74
Guerschon Yabusele	56	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	-5	17	14.0	15.5	-1.50	12.4	14.4	-2.02
Jonathan Gibson	19	18	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	6	-5	17.2	14.2	2.99	13.7	13.2	0.51
Semi Ojeleye	51	50	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.36	-5	12	-17	14.8	14.6	0.25	12.8	13.6	-0.82
Marcus Morris	53	54	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	-2	11	14.9	14.5	0.42	13.8	12.7	1.12
Shane Larkin	45	42	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.37	-8	15	-23	15.4	14.2	1.29	13.6	13.0	0.64
Aron Baynes	42	42	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	7	-7	14.2	15.0	-0.81	12.1	14.0	-1.90
Kadeem Allen	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	8	-9	16.0	14.7	1.29	9.0	13.3	-4.28
Abdel Nader	14	13	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.08	-9	16	-25	14.4	14.8	-0.34	14.6	13.0	1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.89,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 93, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.84,1	93.0%
DAL 92, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,1	92.8%
POR 105, SAS 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.74,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1	92.8%