NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Excitement	7.5 [329]		MVP	Marko Jaric (MIN): +25.6%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	2.4 [787]		LVP	Trenton Hassell (MIN): -14.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marko Jaric	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.17	0.09	0.00	8	91%	0.28	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	0.21	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21	0.13	0.08	0.00	15	74%	0.31	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00
Rashad McCants	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.02	-0.00	14	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	35%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	4	40%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.19,-0.12,-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	10	58%	0.02	5	-0.16	4	75%	-0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	8	28%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.19	-0.00	8	67%	0.26	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.00	9	68%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	20	55%	0.15	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.03	-0.02	12	43%	0.07	5	-0.13	11	55%	-0.12
Milt Palacio	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	11	48%	-0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.7	26.6	16.0	25.1	1.8	35.2	128.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +22.0%

MIN -3.0%

UTA +16.8%

UTA +10.9%

UTA +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	18.4	15.6	109.4	114.3	104.4
season	16.1	17.0		101.0	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.9		104.6	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.6	12.0	15.9	17.6	15.7
UTA	17.6	19.3	20.1	16.7	18.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Reed	24	25	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.18	7	-10	17	14.8	16.0	-1.17	18.5	18.4	0.13
Marko Jaric	56	54	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.37	10	-13	23	16.0	15.0	0.97	18.9	17.5	1.39
Ricky Davis	65	64	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.34	8	-11	19	16.1	14.2	1.86	19.2	15.9	3.32
Mark Blount	49	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	8	-19	16.0	15.2	0.78	19.1	17.6	1.44
Marcus Banks	29	30	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	10	-23	15.0	16.0	-0.97	17.5	18.9	-1.39
Rashad McCants	47	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	-2	1	14.1	17.7	-3.59	17.6	19.5	-1.94
Kevin Garnett	76	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	1	-5	15.7	15.1	0.63	18.1	21.2	-3.12
Trenton Hassell	79	77	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.33	-11	8	-19	16.3	8.0	8.25	18.2	21.3	-3.12

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	75	77	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.39	7	-4	11	17.4	26.7	-9.23	15.9	13.4	2.53
Andrei Kirilenko	74	75	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.36	6	-3	9	18.8	15.7	3.10	16.0	13.0	3.03
Devin Brown	46	47	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.47	2	1	1	17.9	19.1	-1.24	14.1	17.7	-3.59
Matt Harpring	50	49	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	6	-9	18.2	18.8	-0.61	14.5	17.3	-2.84
Carlos Boozer	47	48	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.48	-6	9	-15	18.0	19.0	-1.07	14.9	16.7	-1.83
Jarron Collins	35	36	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	-5	13	19.2	17.9	1.32	16.9	14.8	2.16
Mehmet Okur	46	47	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	-2	7	18.0	18.9	-0.95	16.2	15.0	1.21
Milt Palacio	38	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	3	-3	19.1	17.9	1.24	17.7	14.1	3.59
Keith McLeod	9	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	7	-11	26.7	17.4	9.23	13.4	15.9	-2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 104, BOS 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.89,1,1	93.0%
MEM 105, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.74,1	92.6%
UTA 88, CHA 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.91,1,1	92.5%