NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	100		Excitement	7.0 [524]		MVP	Alex Caruso (CHI): +13.0%
Chicago Bulls	111		Comeback	1.6 [711]		LVP	John Collins (ATL): -8.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
AJ Griffin	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	7	79%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	12	59%	0.12	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Aaron Holiday	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dejounte Murray	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	19	53%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	12	46%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	16	50%	0.12	6	-0.19	10	70%	-0.02
John Collins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	0.01	0.03	11	50%	0.04	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	9	67%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	21	57%	0.12	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	17	49%	0.11	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.01
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.04	0.06	11	67%	0.13	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	14	47%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	12	42%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	22.4	14.5	28.3	0.3	30.8	123.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +21.5%

ATL -3.1%

CHI +9.4%

CHI +21.2%

CHI +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	14.4	102.0	111.0	113.4
season	13.8	14.1		115.1	112.0
opponent	14.9	14.4		110.9	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.3	16.4	13.8	15.5	14.4
CHI	13.4	13.6	16.1	15.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Holiday	24	25	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.01	9	-20	29	13.5	14.7	-1.20	13.4	15.1	-1.65
Trae Young	77	81	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.13	6	-17	23	13.0	19.6	-6.57	15.2	12.6	2.53
John Collins	73	75	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-13	15	14.7	13.6	1.14	14.5	15.1	-0.59
Frank Kaminsky	9	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-10	9	11.6	14.7	-3.14	15.5	14.6	0.91
Jalen Johnson	31	32	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	2	-15	14.4	14.4	0.02	13.5	15.2	-1.74
AJ Griffin	62	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.20	-8	-3	-5	14.4	14.4	0.03	14.2	15.5	-1.24
Clint Capela	75	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	-2	-7	14.9	12.7	2.18	14.8	14.5	0.30
Bogdan Bogdanovic	65	66	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.04	-20	9	-29	15.1	13.0	2.12	15.2	13.7	1.43
Dejounte Murray	74	73	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.18	-21	10	-31	15.1	12.4	2.69	15.0	13.8	1.19

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	82	80	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.24	19	-8	27	14.5	15.7	-1.27	14.3	14.8	-0.45
DeMar DeRozan	77	76	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.20	20	-9	29	15.0	13.6	1.39	14.2	15.2	-1.06
Ayo Dosunmu	58	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	4	3	15.0	14.3	0.68	15.0	13.5	1.53
Alex Caruso	58	57	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	1	9	14.5	14.9	-0.35	14.0	14.9	-0.89
Patrick Williams	63	62	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	7	-3	15.2	13.9	1.29	15.0	13.4	1.66
Andre Drummond	7	6	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	9	-7	15.7	14.6	1.11	16.8	14.2	2.58
Coby White	47	45	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	12	-13	13.6	15.6	-2.05	14.7	14.1	0.60
Zach LaVine	72	71	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	10	-9	14.9	14.1	0.85	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Derrick Jones Jr.	36	34	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.04	-7	18	-25	14.2	15.0	-0.76	13.0	15.1	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,1	93.7%
CHA 120, TOR 132	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%
BOS 86, CLE 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.77,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.3%