NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	8.1 [233]		MVP	Nick Anderson (SAC): +14.9%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	1.1 [797]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (MIN): -17.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	17	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	23	63%	0.21	5	-0.17	8	87%	0.01
Tom Hammonds	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	9	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	8	39%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Sealy	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	10	33%	-0.04	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Terrell Brandon	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	20	42%	-0.04	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	12	71%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	10	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	0.00	10	52%	0.01	4	-0.10	9	78%	0.04
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	11	37%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	13	41%	-0.04	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	19	37%	-0.06	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	28.7	16.8	23.2	2.3	40.0	137.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +8.8%

SAC +22.2%

SAC +16.1%

SAC +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	11.9	14.8	15.2	88.0	92.6	101.7
season	15.1	13.8		103.5	102.9
opponent	14.7	15.7		100.7	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	10.4	14.2	12.0	11.3	11.9
SAC	13.1	15.2	15.7	15.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Hammonds	11	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-1	-3	13.3	11.7	1.53	17.2	14.5	2.68
Rasho Nesterovic	55	55	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.28	7	-12	19	11.4	12.4	-1.02	15.0	14.5	0.55
Bobby Jackson	23	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-1	-3	12.1	11.8	0.30	16.5	14.3	2.17
Anthony Peeler	78	80	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.32	6	-11	17	11.3	13.5	-2.22	14.8	14.6	0.22
Dean Garrett	34	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-2	-1	12.3	11.7	0.58	15.6	14.4	1.28
Joe Smith	54	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	4	-13	12.4	11.4	0.98	13.5	15.9	-2.41
Malik Sealy	31	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	6	-17	13.2	11.4	1.86	14.2	15.0	-0.77
Kevin Garnett	97	98	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-8	11	11.6	14.9	-3.35	14.6	16.0	-1.36
Terrell Brandon	85	84	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-4	3	11.8	12.1	-0.30	14.3	16.5	-2.17
Wally Szczerbiak	72	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.35	-9	4	-13	12.1	11.6	0.51	15.0	14.2	0.86

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	46	45	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	-6	17	14.4	15.0	-0.62	12.4	11.6	0.82
Darrick Martin	36	36	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	-8	21	15.7	14.3	1.39	13.2	11.2	1.94
Lawrence Funderburke	27	28	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	-6	17	14.8	14.8	0.06	13.9	11.2	2.74
Scot Pollard	29	30	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	-4	13	16.6	14.1	2.53	13.6	11.3	2.31
Jon Barry	25	24	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	2	1	15.9	14.4	1.45	13.0	11.6	1.47
Nick Anderson	83	84	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.18	2	3	-1	14.4	15.9	-1.45	11.6	13.0	-1.47
Vlade Divac	75	75	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.29	-4	9	-13	14.3	15.9	-1.60	11.2	13.4	-2.15
Chris Webber	84	83	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.28	-6	11	-17	14.7	15.0	-0.24	11.2	14.2	-3.00
Jason Williams	72	72	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.31	-8	13	-21	14.3	15.7	-1.39	11.2	13.2	-1.94
Corliss Williamson	63	63	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	11	-17	14.8	14.7	0.10	11.6	12.4	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 85, MIN 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%
POR 108, OKC 120	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	93.8%
DEN 118, MEM 133	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.57,0.72,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%