NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	85		Excitement	6.5 [490]		MVP	Alexey Shved (MIN): +13.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Comeback	1.4 [776]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): -18.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Henson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Sanders	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.01	0.06	7	71%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doron Lamb	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Ekpe Udoh	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	6	57%	0.01	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	22	39%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tobias Harris	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	9	20%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	9	35%	-0.05	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.05	0.06	19	43%	-0.10	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.07	0.02	9	80%	0.21	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	10	68%	0.11	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	58%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	13	53%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	12	47%	-0.04	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	9	22%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	19	33%	-0.12	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	27.5	15.0	24.2	2.4	35.3	130.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +22.9%

MIN +10.7%

MIN +19.3%

MIL -2.1%

MIL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MIN	NBA	MIL	MIN	NBA
this game	13.6	15.6	15.4	85.9	96.9	104.1
season	14.7	15.6		101.6	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.3		103.4	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.0	15.6	13.2	12.8	13.6
MIN	14.2	14.4	16.8	17.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	0	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-10	10	0.0	13.6	-13.63	20.0	15.6	4.42
John Henson	40	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-9	8	13.9	13.4	0.54	14.5	16.5	-2.05
Doron Lamb	31	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-8	6	12.9	14.0	-1.05	17.1	14.9	2.16
Beno Udrih	30	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-5	0	14.8	13.1	1.73	17.3	15.0	2.31
Tobias Harris	41	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-4	-2	14.5	13.0	1.43	13.7	17.1	-3.43
Samuel Dalembert	35	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	-2	-6	13.9	13.5	0.45	12.9	17.1	-4.26
Mike Dunleavy	46	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-8	6	13.4	13.8	-0.40	17.5	14.2	3.28
Larry Sanders	64	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-8	6	13.5	13.9	-0.45	17.1	12.9	4.26
Brandon Jennings	74	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-4	-2	13.4	14.4	-1.04	15.0	17.5	-2.43
Ekpe Udoh	57	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.18	-8	-2	-6	13.6	13.6	-0.03	16.7	14.2	2.56
Monta Ellis	77	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.17	-10	0	-10	13.2	15.0	-1.82	14.8	18.4	-3.53

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	65	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-4	18	15.4	16.1	-0.75	13.4	14.0	-0.59
Luke Ridnour	72	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	0	10	15.9	14.8	1.16	14.7	11.1	3.52
Alexey Shved	65	67	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.16	10	0	10	16.0	14.9	1.12	13.2	14.5	-1.34
Nikola Pekovic	74	74	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.13	8	2	6	15.7	15.4	0.33	13.1	15.3	-2.27
Dante Cunningham	46	49	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	7	-4	15.8	15.4	0.42	13.6	13.7	-0.11
Josh Howard	49	50	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	8	-6	15.4	15.9	-0.47	14.0	13.3	0.67
Jose Juan Barea	68	69	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	9	-8	14.8	17.4	-2.56	12.6	16.0	-3.41
Greg Stiemsma	20	20	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	6	-2	16.8	15.3	1.54	17.2	12.7	4.54
Derrick Williams	31	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	12	-14	15.4	15.7	-0.30	13.5	13.7	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 108, OKC 120	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	94.0%
MIN 95, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,1	94.0%
DEN 91, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.84,0.91,0.9,1	93.3%