NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	120		Excitement	7.2 [483]		MVP	O.G. Anunoby (TOR): +30.0%
Toronto Raptors	132		Comeback	1.4 [1032]		LVP	Dennis Smith Jr. (CHA): -15.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mason Plumlee	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.18	0.06	0.03	10	84%	0.21	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Terry Rozier	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.28	0.01	0.09	19	87%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JT Thor	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.06	0.00	7	55%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
P.J. Washington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.04	0.03	8	81%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mark Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
LaMelo Ball	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.04	22	52%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	7	14%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.G. Anunoby	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.18	0.14	0.02	12	92%	0.34	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.10	0.04	14	67%	0.27	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.06
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	6	92%	0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	9	72%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	-0.00	0.06	16	68%	0.14	3	-0.08	9	67%	-0.02
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Koloko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	10	48%	-0.05	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	25.5	14.6	27.0	1.6	35.2	129.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +11.1%

TOR +15.3%

TOR +19.7%

CHA -0.4%

TOR +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	14.4	15.2	14.4	122.4	137.5	113.4
season	14.0	14.7		107.8	114.0
opponent	14.5	14.3		112.2	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.6	14.3	16.4	13.8	14.4
TOR	13.6	13.3	18.8	16.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JT Thor	22	21	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.00	7	-19	26	14.3	14.5	-0.17	17.7	14.6	3.09
Cody Martin	43	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-10	8	13.4	15.2	-1.79	16.2	14.5	1.70
Mason Plumlee	69	70	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-12	12	14.5	14.3	0.25	14.4	17.4	-2.98
Terry Rozier	73	71	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-10	8	15.0	13.0	2.00	14.7	16.7	-1.93
Dennis Smith Jr.	49	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-3	-6	14.4	14.5	-0.12	15.4	15.1	0.22
Jalen McDaniels	58	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-3	-6	13.9	15.2	-1.31	16.1	14.0	2.07
Mark Williams	29	26	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.02	-12	0	-12	14.3	14.5	-0.25	17.4	14.4	2.98
LaMelo Ball	80	79	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.18	-16	4	-20	14.5	14.0	0.55	14.6	18.2	-3.56
P.J. Washington	67	65	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.17	-17	5	-22	15.0	13.3	1.65	14.4	17.1	-2.78

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malachi Flynn	33	35	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	3	6	17.1	14.3	2.81	14.5	14.4	0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	64	66	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	0	12	14.7	16.3	-1.64	14.2	15.0	-0.82
Christian Koloko	42	43	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	1	10	16.1	14.6	1.59	13.9	14.9	-1.01
Fred VanVleet	68	68	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	6	0	14.4	17.4	-2.97	14.9	13.4	1.46
Chris Boucher	30	31	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.02	9	3	6	15.0	15.3	-0.32	14.2	14.6	-0.37
Precious Achiuwa	28	29	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	4	4	15.2	15.3	-0.10	14.1	14.6	-0.54
Pascal Siakam	71	71	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	9	-6	15.3	15.0	0.34	14.6	14.0	0.67
Scottie Barnes	59	61	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	9	-6	15.7	14.6	1.11	14.7	14.1	0.59
O.G. Anunoby	63	63	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	10	-8	14.3	17.1	-2.81	14.8	13.8	0.97
Juancho Hernangomez	22	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	15	-18	16.8	14.8	1.98	13.7	14.7	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.74,0.57,0.66,0.75,0.63,0.74,0.88,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%
SAS 112, TOR 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.94,0.9,0.98,1,1,0.99,1	92.8%
BOS 86, CLE 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.77,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.8%