NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	112		Excitement	7.2 [381]		MVP	Derrick White (SAS): +22.1%
Toronto Raptors	117		Comeback	1.7 [424]		LVP	Jakob Poeltl (SAS): -18.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick White	0.22	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.13	0.05	16	64%	0.25	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.04	0.02	14	77%	0.16	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	6	42%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	46%	0.03	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Lonnie Walker IV	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.08	11	61%	-0.00	3	-0.06	9	78%	-0.02
Dejounte Murray	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	13	39%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jakob Poeltl	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.09	-0.02	4	90%	0.18	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	6	92%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	9	70%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.05	0.04	15	65%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Freddie Gillespie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	64%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	14	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	0.01	20	43%	0.03	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	9	67%	0.08	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	25.4	15.4	30.4	1.0	32.2	131.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +28.4%

TOR +11.5%

TOR +6.8%

TOR +2.9%

TOR +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	TOR	NBA	SAS	TOR	NBA
this game	13.8	14.6	14.4	110.9	114.7	111.3
season	14.6	14.2		109.8	111.0
opponent	14.6	14.2		111.2	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.2	13.0	13.5	13.4	13.8
TOR	15.4	15.2	14.2	13.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonnie Walker IV	36	36	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.08	6	-11	17	13.3	14.0	-0.77	15.2	14.2	1.01
Drew Eubanks	36	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-5	5	13.7	13.8	-0.08	16.4	13.7	2.70
Patty Mills	63	63	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.23	6	-11	17	13.7	13.9	-0.20	15.1	13.8	1.30
DeMar DeRozan	79	80	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.28	3	-8	11	13.3	15.6	-2.33	14.7	14.1	0.59
Keldon Johnson	51	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	2	-9	14.0	13.5	0.46	14.0	15.3	-1.28
Rudy Gay	41	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-3	1	13.8	13.8	-0.03	15.0	14.3	0.63
Derrick White	73	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.30	-5	0	-5	13.4	14.8	-1.45	14.0	16.1	-2.11
Jakob Poeltl	57	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.11	-13	8	-21	14.7	12.5	2.17	13.8	15.6	-1.79
Dejounte Murray	69	70	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.33	-13	8	-21	14.2	12.9	1.31	14.3	15.3	-1.04

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	81	79	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.42	4	1	3	14.1	16.4	-2.31	14.1	12.7	1.39
Khem Birch	62	62	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	-3	11	14.8	14.2	0.57	13.7	13.9	-0.16
Chris Boucher	71	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	3	-1	14.7	14.5	0.21	13.7	13.9	-0.24
Yuta Watanabe	40	43	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	-4	13	14.7	14.5	0.21	14.7	13.1	1.61
OG Anunoby	74	72	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	2	1	14.4	15.0	-0.60	13.5	14.5	-1.05
Paul Watson	32	31	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	2	1	14.4	14.7	-0.23	13.6	13.9	-0.28
Malachi Flynn	68	67	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.22	-4	9	-13	14.9	14.1	0.76	13.4	14.5	-1.05
Rodney Hood	30	30	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	5	-5	15.5	14.2	1.23	14.5	13.5	1.08
Stanley Johnson	12	13	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	2	1	14.8	14.6	0.27	11.5	14.1	-2.65
Freddie Gillespie	40	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	8	-11	14.2	14.8	-0.57	13.9	13.7	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.94,0.9,0.98,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 76, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.6%
HOU 91, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,1	93.5%
UTA 86, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.4%