NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	91		Excitement	6.2 [550]		MVP	Matt Maloney (HOU): +11.4%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	1.7 [739]		LVP	Charles Barkley (HOU): -14.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	-0.00	9	78%	0.18	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sedale Threatt	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.05	0.06	5	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	18	67%	0.16	5	-0.17	13	85%	0.05
Kevin Willis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	1	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	7	27%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Clyde Drexler	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.03	15	42%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Mario Elie	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.03	0.06	6	35%	-0.12	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.02
Charles Barkley	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.00	-0.05	0.09	6	62%	-0.05	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.05

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	5	83%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	7	94%	0.20	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.04
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	0.00	22	56%	0.13	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.08	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	9	48%	0.04	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Greg Ostertag	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.01	11	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	2	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	40.0	2.6	28.9	15.8	27.4	3.3	40.3	158.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +8.7%

UTA +7.2%

UTA +18.0%

UTA +4.3%

UTA +11.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	16.8	15.6	103.4	106.7	104.4
season	15.5	15.6		107.2	110.8
opponent	16.0	15.4		102.2	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.1	15.5	16.9	16.0	15.6
UTA	16.5	18.0	17.4	15.3	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Willis	25	24	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.15	6	-11	17	13.8	16.3	-2.45	17.1	16.6	0.50
Othella Harrington	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-3	1	5.3	16.0	-10.62	20.0	16.7	3.32
Eddie Johnson	38	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-7	9	14.7	16.3	-1.64	17.7	16.1	1.56
Sedale Threatt	27	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	0	-5	13.3	16.6	-3.26	17.7	16.4	1.26
Clyde Drexler	68	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-6	7	15.4	16.3	-0.98	16.3	18.4	-2.18
Matt Maloney	61	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-5	5	16.6	13.3	3.26	16.4	17.7	-1.26
Charles Barkley	72	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	1	-7	15.6	15.7	-0.12	16.6	17.6	-1.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	76	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	3	-11	16.6	9.2	7.34	16.7	17.0	-0.28
Mario Elie	70	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.22	-13	8	-21	16.3	12.8	3.54	16.8	16.8	-0.01

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	83	81	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-4	13	16.9	15.1	1.75	15.4	17.6	-2.15
Jeff Hornacek	68	66	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.40	3	2	1	16.3	18.2	-1.89	15.2	16.8	-1.64
John Stockton	61	57	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	1	3	16.5	17.4	-0.92	17.7	11.8	5.89
Antoine Carr	36	37	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	1	3	17.1	16.6	0.50	16.8	14.7	2.15
Bryon Russell	76	74	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.37	-5	10	-15	16.6	17.6	-0.97	15.3	17.3	-2.02
Chris Morris	11	10	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	-2	9	19.2	16.4	2.76	16.7	15.4	1.25
Shandon Anderson	25	26	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.01	5	0	5	17.4	16.5	0.89	17.1	15.0	2.16
Greg Ostertag	40	38	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	4	-3	16.7	16.8	-0.10	17.3	14.3	3.08
Howard Eisley	29	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	4	-3	17.4	16.5	0.92	11.8	17.7	-5.89
Greg Foster	21	20	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	9	-13	15.8	17.0	-1.23	10.6	17.0	-6.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 83, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.98,0.89,0.94,0.92,1	93.8%
DEN 88, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	93.8%
POR 77, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.86,1,1,1,1	93.8%