inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 83 Excitement6.7 [465] MVPEddie Jones (MIA): +16.7%
Miami Heat 88 Comeback1.6 [915] LVPLamar Odom (MIA): -31.7%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Mihm0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.010.00479%0.0700.00650%-0.05
Kevin Ollie0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.03-0.00378%0.092-0.063100%0.02
Darius Miles0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001146%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Ira Newble-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
J.R. Bremer-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.02-0.090.011359%0.013-0.13850%-0.07
LeBron James-0.190,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.19-0.08-0.12-0.011550%-0.034-0.17667%-0.01
Carlos Boozer-0.230,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.23-0.12-0.11-0.00826%-0.152-0.08333%-0.03
Ricky Davis-0.260,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26-0.14-0.12-0.00945%-0.036-0.22250%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.170.170.100.02-0.041861%0.1700.00580%0.01
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.080.070.005100%0.181-0.0300%0.00
Loren Woods0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.002100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.03-0.02560%0.061-0.0000%0.00
Brian Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.030.00650%0.0400.0000%0.00
John Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.001100%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14-0.14-0.05-0.080.01654%-0.013-0.141100%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17-0.17-0.15-0.04-0.011736%-0.113-0.06580%0.00
Lamar Odom0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.31,-0.32,-0.32-0.32-0.20-0.12-0.011735%-0.155-0.17667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.12.427.515.327.15.734.3136.5
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +22.4%
MIA +6.0%
MIA +1.5%
MIA +17.6%
MIA +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEMIANBACLEMIANBA
this game15.416.615.792.297.8100.5
season15.716.299.899.3
opponent15.915.598.8102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE16.014.515.016.115.4
MIA14.615.518.518.116.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Ollie25230.05-0.550.61-0.033-81116.415.01.3315.616.9-1.33
Ira Newble21200.00-0.500.510.000-5516.015.20.7216.016.8-0.71
DeSagana Diop2120-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-4314.615.6-1.0216.316.7-0.39
Chris Mihm2526-0.07-0.430.36-0.132-7918.014.43.5415.816.9-1.11
J.R. Bremer1819-0.08-0.420.34-0.173-81113.915.8-1.8215.716.8-1.09
Darius Miles5455-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.12-105-1515.515.20.3416.716.40.33
LeBron James8079-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.31-4-1-315.415.7-0.3416.715.51.20
Carlos Boozer6968-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.31-50-515.016.7-1.7116.816.00.79
Zydrunas Ilgauskas6466-0.520.02-0.54-0.35-61-715.215.8-0.5716.816.00.76
Ricky Davis7374-0.580.08-0.66-0.38-72-915.116.8-1.6817.014.62.40

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lamar Odom75760.68-0.180.850.3212-71916.915.01.9215.117.2-2.15
Udonis Haslem68670.65-0.150.800.428-31117.115.11.9414.817.1-2.32
Dwyane Wade65650.470.030.440.248-31116.915.90.9414.817.0-2.27
Brian Grant57580.410.090.310.2650515.618.3-2.6915.415.4-0.06
Eddie Jones68700.230.27-0.040.38-510-1516.417.2-0.8315.216.1-0.90
Loren Woods33320.090.41-0.310.0905-518.315.62.6915.415.40.06
Caron Butler37350.030.47-0.43-0.0532116.316.8-0.4716.314.91.40
Rafer Alston25250.030.47-0.440.12-38-1115.916.9-0.9417.014.82.27
John Wallace2222-0.090.59-0.68-0.00-38-1115.117.1-1.9417.614.72.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.98,0.89,0.94,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 94, PHX 990.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.96,194.1%
HOU 91, UTA 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,193.8%
LAL 101, SAC 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.99,193.7%