NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	86		Excitement	6.3 [510]		MVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): +15.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	1.5 [395]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -21.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Carr	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	8	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	1	0%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bryon Russell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	7	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Greg Ostertag	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Foster	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Hornacek	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07	0.06	-0.07	0.06	10	70%	0.02	2	-0.09	3	67%	0.01
Adam Keefe	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
John Stockton	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	10	37%	-0.06	4	-0.11	4	25%	-0.06
Karl Malone	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	0.00	24	43%	-0.08	4	-0.14	5	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.09	0.04	15	80%	0.28	5	-0.13	5	100%	0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vincent Askew	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	83%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	43%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	8	57%	-0.02	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	13	47%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.00	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	7	33%	-0.13	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	27.5	22.5	29.9	1.7	34.3	145.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +14.6%

POR +11.5%

POR +12.7%

POR +8.0%

POR +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	14.3	16.7	15.6	91.5	104.3	102.5
season	15.9	15.9		108.1	101.9
opponent	15.4	15.9		100.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.1	17.0	12.9	13.5	14.3
POR	17.4	17.2	17.1	15.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	28	27	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-16	22	12.6	15.0	-2.36	17.4	16.4	1.06
Chris Morris	3	3	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-8	6	14.0	14.3	-0.31	5.3	17.1	-11.75
Greg Ostertag	57	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-11	12	13.6	15.4	-1.87	16.4	17.1	-0.64
Adam Keefe	28	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-4	-2	14.9	14.0	0.85	16.9	16.6	0.29
Jeff Hornacek	70	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-7	4	13.2	17.4	-4.19	15.6	19.8	-4.21
Greg Foster	14	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-1	-8	17.1	13.8	3.26	14.2	17.1	-2.87
Karl Malone	82	77	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.26	1	-11	12	13.6	19.2	-5.68	17.0	15.3	1.71
Shandon Anderson	28	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	-3	-4	16.0	13.6	2.48	18.5	15.9	2.59
Bryon Russell	60	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-6	2	14.4	14.1	0.24	17.4	15.5	1.94
Antoine Carr	34	37	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	1	-12	16.3	13.2	3.13	17.7	16.0	1.68
John Stockton	66	65	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.15	-16	6	-22	15.0	12.6	2.36	16.4	17.4	-1.06

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	81	82	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.19	17	-7	24	16.7	16.4	0.38	14.6	12.2	2.44
Alvin Williams	33	33	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-4	18	18.5	15.7	2.79	16.9	12.9	3.98
Jermaine O'Neal	28	31	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	0	10	18.4	16.0	2.39	15.4	13.8	1.63
Gary Trent	57	59	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	0	10	15.5	18.7	-3.17	14.1	14.6	-0.53
Isaiah Rider	64	67	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	5	0	16.6	16.9	-0.23	13.0	17.4	-4.41
Arvydas Sabonis	68	68	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	8	-6	16.0	18.6	-2.61	13.5	16.3	-2.83
Kenny Anderson	65	67	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	10	-10	15.8	18.8	-3.00	13.1	17.3	-4.15
Vincent Askew	35	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	14	-18	16.0	17.1	-1.17	15.7	13.5	2.25
Kelvin Cato	29	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	14	-18	19.9	15.2	4.67	15.6	13.7	1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 84, GSW 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.8%
SAC 87, PHX 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.69,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.58,0.76,0.69,0.88,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%
CLE 92, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	93.3%