NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	87		Excitement	6.6 [472]		MVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): +16.4%
Phoenix Suns	104		Comeback	1.9 [942]		LVP	Olden Polynice (SAC): -23.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	24	62%	0.23	7	-0.20	4	25%	-0.06
Kevin Gamble	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	15	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Tyus Edney	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Smith	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	5	37%	-0.07	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Brian Grant	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	7	65%	0.04	5	-0.14	12	75%	-0.01
Billy Owens	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.19	-0.07	-0.02	11	23%	-0.12	3	-0.11	4	0%	-0.06

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.11	-0.02	9	68%	0.23	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.08	0.01	11	71%	0.16	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Horacio Llamas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Meyer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	11	48%	0.03	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	73%	0.02	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	11	55%	-0.05	1	-0.03	16	81%	0.03
Wayman Tisdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	11	27%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	9	35%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	10	30%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	26.5	15.6	25.1	2.5	33.2	131.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +10.5%

PHX +11.9%

SAC -0.1%

PHX +29.2%

SAC -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.5	14.4	15.6	87.9	104.0	104.4
season	15.4	14.6		102.4	106.8
opponent	15.6	15.4		106.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.3	15.0	12.3	13.8	14.5
PHX	14.8	13.2	15.4	14.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	61	63	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-15	13	15.2	13.3	1.96	14.7	14.1	0.54
Corliss Williamson	16	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-14	11	15.5	14.3	1.20	12.5	14.8	-2.25
Michael Smith	64	65	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-14	11	14.4	14.6	-0.16	14.7	14.0	0.69
Billy Owens	67	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-5	-7	15.3	12.8	2.49	14.4	14.5	-0.14
Kevin Gamble	25	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-8	-1	14.5	14.5	0.03	14.5	14.4	0.07
Olden Polynice	79	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-11	5	14.8	13.2	1.62	15.0	12.3	2.68
Brian Grant	54	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.12	-19	2	-21	12.9	16.4	-3.41	13.7	15.3	-1.62
Mitch Richmond	91	92	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	-1	-15	14.4	15.6	-1.23	14.6	13.1	1.44
Tyus Edney	38	37	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	-2	-13	13.3	15.2	-1.96	14.1	14.7	-0.54

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rex Chapman	67	65	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.14	13	4	9	15.1	13.2	1.94	15.3	13.0	2.32
Jason Kidd	47	47	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.05	18	-1	19	13.9	15.0	-1.09	14.3	14.7	-0.38
Danny Manning	55	53	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	3	11	14.0	15.0	-1.04	13.1	16.1	-2.93
Mark Bryant	54	53	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	9	-1	14.8	14.0	0.83	16.2	12.5	3.77
Hot Rod Williams	71	69	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	13	-9	14.9	13.2	1.70	14.6	14.3	0.33
Kevin Johnson	75	74	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	8	1	14.5	14.3	0.23	14.4	14.8	-0.46
Wayman Tisdale	36	38	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	8	1	13.4	15.0	-1.61	14.2	14.7	-0.42
Wesley Person	38	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.07	6	11	-5	13.9	14.8	-0.90	12.8	15.6	-2.77
Cedric Ceballos	51	52	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	19	-21	15.1	13.7	1.40	14.9	14.1	0.82
Horacio Llamas	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	14	-11	10.0	14.6	-4.59	13.3	14.5	-1.20
Loren Meyer	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	14	-11	10.0	14.6	-4.59	13.3	14.5	-1.20
Steve Nash	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	14	-11	10.0	14.6	-4.59	13.3	14.5	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.69,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.58,0.76,0.69,0.88,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.6%
SAS 108, SEA 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.96,1,0.98,1	92.6%
MIN 98, UTA 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.62,0.49,0.62,0.58,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.4%