NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Excitement	6.7 [371]		MVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): +25.6%
Utah Jazz	108		Comeback	1.5 [796]		LVP	Kevin Love (MIN): -36.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.08	-0.02	8	56%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Johnson	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.00	0.02	6	100%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	77%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	57%	0.08	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Nikola Pekovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.27,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.22	-0.16	-0.02	21	31%	-0.21	4	-0.15	7	57%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.12	0.16	0.02	18	68%	0.28	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.01	0.00	6	100%	0.15	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	13	50%	0.09	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.03
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	4	77%	0.11	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	75%	0.07	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	3	12%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	5	33%	-0.05	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.7	27.2	15.3	27.6	2.3	24.3	123.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +19.9%

UTA +6.1%

UTA +17.4%

UTA +6.3%

UTA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	16.5	15.3	15.6	108.9	118.7	102.8
season	15.3	15.8		102.6	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.1		104.7	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.9	16.8	18.0	15.4	16.5
UTA	14.8	14.5	14.7	17.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	56	56	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.01	3	-13	16	15.8	17.8	-2.03	14.3	16.9	-2.58
Anthony Tolliver	14	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-5	0	17.8	16.3	1.48	15.5	15.3	0.24
Ricky Rubio	75	75	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.07	-3	-7	4	16.3	17.5	-1.12	15.2	15.9	-0.78
Wayne Ellington	45	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-7	4	17.1	15.9	1.20	15.1	15.5	-0.34
Kevin Love	64	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-6	2	16.4	16.8	-0.44	15.2	15.5	-0.23
Darko Milicic	30	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	0	-10	17.6	16.0	1.60	15.4	15.2	0.20
Nikola Pekovic	30	31	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.17	-9	-1	-8	17.2	16.2	0.95	17.1	14.4	2.73
Luke Ridnour	69	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	-2	-6	16.5	16.7	-0.17	15.4	15.0	0.39
Wesley Johnson	67	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.27	-11	1	-12	16.1	17.7	-1.62	15.4	14.9	0.51

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	61	61	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.17	19	-9	28	15.8	14.3	1.49	16.5	16.6	-0.03
Gordon Hayward	59	56	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.35	10	0	10	15.5	15.0	0.46	16.3	16.9	-0.56
Al Jefferson	69	69	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-1	12	15.3	15.4	-0.15	16.4	17.0	-0.55
Raja Bell	56	57	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	3	4	15.0	15.8	-0.82	15.5	18.2	-2.70
Earl Watson	52	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	3	4	15.5	15.0	0.56	16.6	16.4	0.19
Devin Harris	43	43	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	5	0	14.8	15.8	-1.00	15.8	17.2	-1.42
CJ Miles	40	39	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	7	-4	15.1	15.4	-0.31	17.6	15.7	1.95
Enes Kanter	22	21	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.11	-1	11	-12	15.4	15.3	0.15	17.0	16.4	0.55
Alec Burks	24	24	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.09	-2	12	-14	15.7	15.1	0.56	18.3	15.9	2.45
Derrick Favors	29	28	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.03	-9	19	-28	14.8	15.5	-0.74	16.9	16.4	0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.62,0.49,0.62,0.58,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 98, LAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.84,0.94,1,1	93.1%
PHX 94, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.7,0.61,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.99,1	92.9%
BKN 96, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.91,1	92.8%