NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	84		Excitement	5.9 [614]		MVP	Mickael Pietrus (GSW): +12.2%
Golden State Warriors	90		Comeback	1.3 [874]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -34.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.06	0.03	14	81%	0.23	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	69%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.08	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	9	26%	-0.08	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.10	-0.00	15	30%	-0.15	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Steve Francis	-0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.13	-0.11	0.10	16	50%	-0.16	7	-0.18	6	83%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	8	91%	0.18	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	13	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.07
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	0.01	4	80%	0.09	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	7	61%	0.02	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	7	57%	-0.01	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	14	25%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	8	35%	-0.08	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.5	30.2	16.5	28.3	4.4	45.4	154.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +32.9%

GSW +7.4%

GSW +5.1%

GSW +5.9%

HOU -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	15.4	15.7	15.7	92.3	95.7	100.5
season	16.5	16.1		98.8	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.6		101.6	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.2	15.5	15.3	13.9	15.4
GSW	13.5	17.3	18.1	14.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	7	7	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.04	1	-7	8	13.1	15.6	-2.48	17.7	15.5	2.17
Charles Oakley	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-13	20	8.0	16.0	-8.05	6.2	16.6	-10.33
Clar. Weatherspoon	34	37	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-7	8	15.7	15.3	0.40	18.2	14.1	4.15
Scott Padgett	35	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.21	-1	-5	4	15.1	15.6	-0.51	13.6	17.0	-3.39
Mark Jackson	25	27	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	2	-10	15.1	15.5	-0.43	17.1	15.1	1.98
Yao Ming	55	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	0	-6	15.8	14.9	0.94	16.7	14.2	2.55
Cuttino Mobley	79	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-6	6	15.4	15.8	-0.47	16.1	13.5	2.60
Steve Francis	82	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-3	0	15.4	15.3	0.11	15.1	21.8	-6.72
Maurice Taylor	49	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	5	-16	16.6	14.1	2.43	16.3	15.0	1.32
Jim Jackson	82	84	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	4	-14	15.5	14.7	0.85	15.0	21.5	-6.49

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	67	68	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.34	12	-6	18	14.6	18.4	-3.74	16.0	13.6	2.44
Avery Johnson	53	50	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	-1	8	15.5	15.9	-0.36	14.3	16.9	-2.59
Calbert Cheaney	62	58	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.28	5	1	4	15.8	15.5	0.31	14.5	17.1	-2.56
Troy Murphy	42	39	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	1	4	16.4	15.1	1.31	15.9	15.1	0.87
Erick Dampier	53	55	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	-2	10	16.7	14.4	2.33	16.6	13.6	2.96
Adonal Foyle	28	25	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.01	6	0	6	16.2	15.5	0.73	14.4	15.8	-1.42
Clifford Robinson	57	56	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	9	-12	15.3	16.3	-1.03	15.3	15.6	-0.28
Jason Richardson	54	53	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	8	-10	16.7	14.3	2.35	16.0	14.6	1.46
Mike Dunleavy	54	51	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.14	-8	14	-22	14.7	17.1	-2.43	15.2	15.8	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.8%
CLE 85, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	93.4%
PHI 76, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.3%