NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	86		Excitement	6.4 [487]		MVP	Danny Ferry (CLE): +20.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Comeback	1.6 [932]		LVP	Ron Mercer (BOS): -13.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	23	62%	0.21	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.04
Travis Knight	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	5	43%	0.00	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Andrew DeClercq	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Zan Tabak	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	15	36%	-0.07	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Walter McCarty	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	8	31%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	6	36%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Ron Mercer	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.03	0.03	25	42%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.11	-0.02	6	85%	0.22	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	0.01	5	83%	0.14	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.05
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	61%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	8	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	12	63%	0.14	6	-0.16	11	73%	0.02
Carl Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	4	42%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	58%	0.01	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	27.3	14.8	30.0	2.5	25.2	124.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +50.8%

CLE +30.6%

BOS -4.1%

BOS -26.3%

BOS -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	15.2	15.6	94.5	103.3	102.5
season	15.1	15.4		100.2	99.4
opponent	16.0	15.1		97.0	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.8	16.8	17.5	17.5	16.3
CLE	15.7	13.9	14.6	16.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Knight	25	26	0.25	-0.75	1.01	-0.10	12	-21	33	14.5	17.0	-2.49	16.7	14.6	2.03
Andrew DeClercq	21	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-4	-1	16.7	16.2	0.56	13.0	15.8	-2.85
Tyus Edney	23	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-7	5	18.4	15.6	2.82	15.1	15.2	-0.14
Greg Minor	41	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-1	-7	15.7	16.8	-1.10	13.3	16.7	-3.48
Dana Barros	68	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-2	-5	15.6	18.4	-2.82	15.0	15.8	-0.76
Zan Tabak	41	40	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	3	-15	16.4	16.2	0.19	16.4	14.3	2.13
Ron Mercer	89	90	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.26	-5	-4	-1	16.4	12.5	3.87	15.2	14.5	0.71
Antoine Walker	78	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	0	-9	16.9	12.5	4.37	15.1	15.9	-0.85
Walter McCarty	69	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.29	-9	0	-9	16.3	16.3	0.02	16.1	12.4	3.72

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	63	62	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.20	13	-4	17	14.7	16.3	-1.58	16.4	16.0	0.42
Danny Ferry	37	36	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.15	13	-4	17	15.0	15.3	-0.37	17.1	15.8	1.27
Wesley Person	66	66	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.25	7	2	5	15.0	15.8	-0.80	17.2	14.0	3.21
Shawn Kemp	68	70	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.15	9	0	9	15.1	15.5	-0.36	16.5	15.7	0.74
Brevin Knight	68	67	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	2	5	15.2	15.0	0.21	16.4	16.0	0.33
Cedric Henderson	70	69	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	7	-5	15.7	13.5	2.29	15.5	18.6	-3.10
Bob Sura	22	21	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	7	-5	15.0	15.3	-0.32	15.7	16.5	-0.80
Vitaly Potapenko	23	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	9	-9	15.9	15.0	0.96	16.5	16.2	0.28
Carl Thomas	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	14.4	15.3	-0.83	14.9	16.4	-1.55
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	34	34	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	16	-23	15.6	14.9	0.67	15.1	17.0	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.77,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 83, LAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.6%
NYK 93, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	93.4%
ATL 100, NOK 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.79,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,1,1	93.1%