inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 100 Excitement6.3 [557] MVPChris Paul (NOK): +22.9%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets 107 Comeback1.6 [910] LVPBobby Jackson (NOK): -11.5%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Johnson0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.140.080.06-0.001262%0.1400.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.00859%0.061-0.03683%0.02
Marvin Williams0.030,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.000.04967%0.0300.0000%0.00
Salim Stoudamire0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.020.040.000.021150%0.0200.0000%0.00
Lorenzen Wright0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Speedy Claxton-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.020.00743%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.050.06-0.080.031864%0.114-0.16683%0.01
Shelden Williams-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Josh Childress-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.00844%-0.002-0.0700%0.00
Josh Smith-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.00-0.060.041359%0.044-0.13367%0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.230.230.060.14-0.021655%0.261-0.031292%0.06
Devin Brown0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.140.020.021273%0.1500.00250%-0.00
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.120.000.03682%0.131-0.031080%0.01
David West0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.040.040.040.010.021357%0.051-0.01475%-0.02
Hilton Armstrong00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.00450%0.052-0.0800%0.00
Linton Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Marc Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00225%-0.0400.00450%-0.04
Desmond Mason0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.030.021842%-0.051-0.032100%0.00
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.07-0.00450%-0.012-0.1000%0.00
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.00717%-0.1100.00475%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.01.827.216.827.11.740.5139.1
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL -11.2%
NOK +18.1%
NOK +38.3%
NOK +7.6%
ATL -2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLNOKNBAATLNOKNBA
this game15.415.415.4107.5113.8104.5
season16.116.0101.1102.8
opponent15.315.3104.4106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL14.917.614.015.515.4
NOK17.915.114.814.015.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lorenzen Wright23240.10-0.600.71-0.107-142114.515.7-1.2119.114.14.98
Marvin Williams51500.06-0.560.61-0.219-162514.416.7-2.3416.314.31.94
Salim Stoudamire33-0.01-0.490.490.02-1-656.315.7-9.401.715.8-14.16
Shelden Williams810-0.01-0.490.48-0.041-8917.715.22.5412.415.7-3.33
Speedy Claxton4343-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-7715.215.6-0.4516.314.61.63
Joe Johnson8787-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.36-1-6515.317.7-2.3915.316.7-1.45
Josh Childress5152-0.510.01-0.53-0.01-1710-2716.314.41.9114.416.6-2.25
Josh Smith8386-0.540.04-0.57-0.27-92-1115.514.80.7115.811.14.64
Anthony Johnson5758-0.560.06-0.62-0.26-103-1315.914.71.2514.416.9-2.50
Zaza Pachulia5957-0.590.09-0.68-0.18-147-2115.914.61.3715.115.9-0.81

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David West67670.55-0.040.590.289-21115.814.41.3515.415.6-0.26
Rasual Butler25260.500.000.490.0814-72114.615.7-1.0518.514.24.31
Tyson Chandler65640.420.080.340.3625-316.413.23.1815.016.4-1.38
Bobby Jackson45440.330.170.160.069-21114.116.5-2.4215.615.30.35
Jannero Pargo20190.280.230.050.048-1915.415.40.0417.514.92.57
Chris Paul74740.230.28-0.050.25-18-915.415.4-0.0414.917.5-2.57
Devin Brown52520.180.32-0.140.21-18-915.715.00.6714.716.3-1.54
Hilton Armstrong660.100.40-0.30-0.0243113.815.5-1.6418.815.23.64
Desmond Mason72700.030.47-0.440.21-613-1915.514.90.6014.418.5-4.11
Marc Jackson1413-0.030.53-0.56-0.00-18-914.115.6-1.4416.515.31.20
Linton Johnson3030-0.070.57-0.63-0.01-29-1114.915.6-0.6416.015.20.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.79,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 86, CLE 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.77,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,193.1%
VAN 92, CHH 980.5,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.98,0.99,192.9%
DEN 111, ATL 1160.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.91,192.8%