NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	83		Excitement	6.1 [607]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +15.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	100		Comeback	1.9 [899]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): -15.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.02	0.02	20	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Quinton Ross	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Zeljko Rebraca	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	22	50%	0.10	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Walter McCarty	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	9	28%	-0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	7	37%	-0.04	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.12	0.07	27	60%	0.28	4	-0.12	9	78%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	10	65%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	17	61%	0.16	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	7	47%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	60%	0.01
Smush Parker	0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.7	31.2	16.7	24.2	2.7	29.3	131.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +27.9%

LAL +3.9%

LAL +8.7%

LAL +11.1%

LAC -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.8	15.6	87.4	103.1	104.4
season	15.2	15.6		103.9	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.2	17.2	15.6	16.4	15.3
LAL	15.5	12.3	15.0	16.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	53	54	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.05	2	-19	21	13.8	17.1	-3.26	16.2	13.0	3.23
Chris Kaman	56	57	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.14	5	-22	27	14.4	16.5	-2.14	15.5	13.7	1.75
Sam Cassell	72	75	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.08	-6	-11	5	14.5	17.7	-3.17	15.1	13.7	1.33
Walter McCarty	11	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.06	-3	-14	11	16.6	15.1	1.56	11.8	15.1	-3.29
Zeljko Rebraca	25	25	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-6	-5	18.2	14.2	4.05	13.3	15.3	-1.98
Vladimir Radmanovic	80	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-6	-5	14.6	18.5	-3.82	15.2	12.6	2.55
Elton Brand	84	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	-2	-13	15.0	17.3	-2.28	14.9	13.9	0.95
Shaun Livingston	37	38	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.02	-19	2	-21	17.1	14.1	3.04	13.1	15.8	-2.79
Cuttino Mobley	57	59	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	0.09	-27	10	-37	16.9	12.8	4.06	13.8	16.2	-2.35

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	41	40	0.68	-0.18	0.86	-0.08	26	-9	35	14.8	14.7	0.01	17.6	13.5	4.10
Brian Cook	29	29	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.07	16	1	15	13.6	15.2	-1.66	18.1	14.0	4.15
Kwame Brown	85	83	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.03	15	2	13	14.9	13.9	0.95	14.8	18.1	-3.24
Kobe Bryant	96	94	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.01	16	1	15	14.9	1.0	13.90	15.0	39.0	-24.00
Lamar Odom	87	84	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	2	13	14.9	13.9	0.95	15.0	17.3	-2.28
Devean George	17	18	0.17	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	12	-7	13.2	15.1	-1.91	17.6	14.7	2.84
Ronny Turiaf	5	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	18	-19	16.4	14.7	1.74	18.2	15.1	3.11
Luke Walton	68	66	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.07	1	16	-15	15.2	13.6	1.66	14.0	18.1	-4.15
Smush Parker	57	56	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.10	-8	25	-33	14.5	15.1	-0.59	14.0	17.1	-3.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, CLE 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.77,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.6%
DAL 95, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1	93.3%
LAC 91, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.48,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.1%