NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	119		Excitement	8.7 [232]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (BKN): +92.3%
Toronto Raptors	116		Comeback	9.3 [229]		LVP	Royce O'Neale (BKN): -17.6%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.92	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.92	0.20	0.73	0.00	22	68%	0.96	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Yuta Watanabe	0.61	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.61	0.18	0.45	0.02	7	106%	0.61	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	15	78%	0.28	5	-0.14	6	100%	0.03
Nic Claxton	0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	5	83%	0.16	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
T.J. Warren	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.05	0.02	6	71%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Simmons	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	7	62%	0.13	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.09
Joe Harris	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	4	0%	-0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.26,0.64	0.64	0.08	0.56	-0.00	18	55%	0.66	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.19
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.33,0.25,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.21	0.21	0.01	24	70%	0.49	2	-0.08	8	87%	0.03
Juancho Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Christian Koloko	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	15	53%	0.10	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.07	-0.00	11	54%	0.05	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	27.4	14.5	30.3	1.7	36.0	137.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +104.2%

TOR -35.4%

BKN +0.1%

TOR -6.5%

TOR -12.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	TOR	NBA	BKN	TOR	NBA
this game	14.1	15.9	14.4	124.0	120.8	113.4
season	14.4	14.7		113.7	114.0
opponent	14.5	14.8		112.2	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.8	12.2	12.7	15.9	14.1
TOR	15.5	15.5	18.0	14.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yuta Watanabe	44	45	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-9	21	13.7	14.3	-0.62	14.3	17.4	-3.10
Kevin Durant	75	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.35	9	-6	15	13.7	15.2	-1.50	15.7	16.9	-1.18
Kyrie Irving	68	70	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.42	2	1	1	14.4	13.4	1.00	16.8	13.6	3.24
Joe Harris	45	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.51	-5	8	-13	15.5	12.8	2.68	15.4	16.4	-0.93
Ben Simmons	63	64	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	-4	11	13.7	14.8	-1.20	16.5	14.7	1.83
T.J. Warren	35	34	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	-1	5	13.9	14.2	-0.28	14.6	16.7	-2.09
Royce O'Neale	63	64	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	7	-11	14.6	13.0	1.57	16.5	14.8	1.64
Cam Thomas	11	11	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.10	4	-1	5	10.7	14.5	-3.77	15.0	16.1	-1.06
Nic Claxton	52	51	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	5	-7	13.7	14.4	-0.68	16.9	14.8	2.10
Edmond Sumner	10	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.06	-6	9	-15	15.0	14.0	1.05	13.4	16.2	-2.80
Seth Curry	14	13	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.03	-6	9	-15	13.9	14.1	-0.24	16.5	15.9	0.61

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Koloko	41	41	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.07	6	-9	15	16.5	15.5	1.05	13.8	14.3	-0.53
Thaddeus Young	27	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-2	1	15.7	16.0	-0.27	15.0	13.7	1.25
Chris Boucher	32	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	2	-7	16.0	15.9	0.09	14.0	14.1	-0.14
Malachi Flynn	58	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.47	3	-6	9	14.6	17.9	-3.33	14.3	13.7	0.58
Juancho Hernangomez	83	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-2	1	15.8	16.8	-1.05	14.1	13.8	0.31
Fred VanVleet	86	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-2	1	16.3	12.6	3.73	14.0	14.6	-0.65
Scottie Barnes	78	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.34	-7	4	-11	16.6	13.0	3.62	14.1	13.7	0.38
Pascal Siakam	75	75	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	6	-15	15.7	16.9	-1.18	13.7	15.2	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.78,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.1,0.31,0.45,0.32,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.32,0.54,0.33,0.41,0	91.9%
MEM 88, LAL 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.15,0.42,0	91.4%
POR 102, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.58,0	90.7%