NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	128		Excitement	6.2 [689]		MVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): +22.0%
Denver Nuggets	141		Comeback	1.6 [814]		LVP	Jordan Goodwin (WAS): -8.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Kispert	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.04	0.02	10	80%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.18	0.00	0.03	11	80%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	57%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.04	16	63%	0.07	3	-0.06	6	33%	-0.06
Devon Dotson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.04	-0.03	15	59%	0.13	5	-0.13	7	57%	-0.01
Deni Avdija	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	64%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	12	46%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.22	0.05	0.05	20	86%	0.42	8	-0.20	10	90%	0.03
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.06	0.01	11	82%	0.29	3	-0.08	6	83%	-0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.04	0.03	6	93%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Braun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.02	0.04	14	63%	0.07	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Vlatko Cancar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davon Reed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeke Nnaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	11	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	6	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.5	27.5	14.6	27.2	2.3	34.3	136.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +16.5%

DEN +26.8%

DEN +13.5%

WAS -7.0%

DEN +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DEN	NBA	WAS	DEN	NBA
this game	14.0	12.3	14.4	116.4	129.4	113.4
season	14.8	14.7		113.4	116.6
opponent	14.5	14.2		112.3	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.4	13.4	14.3	14.8	14.0
DEN	10.9	13.8	13.4	11.3	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Gill	28	26	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.19	13	-26	39	11.5	14.8	-3.35	14.8	11.6	3.25
Devon Dotson	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	8.0	14.2	-6.25	16.0	12.2	3.81
Monte Morris	57	57	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-12	11	15.1	12.8	2.30	13.9	10.6	3.35
Corey Kispert	76	77	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-12	11	14.4	12.9	1.52	12.8	11.3	1.48
Daniel Gafford	59	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-12	11	12.7	15.4	-2.66	12.8	11.8	0.94
Taj Gibson	42	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	-2	-9	14.8	13.5	1.33	12.0	12.5	-0.53
Will Barton	84	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	1	-15	13.7	15.0	-1.31	11.8	14.2	-2.43
Jordan Goodwin	53	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	-1	-11	12.8	15.1	-2.30	10.6	13.9	-3.35
Deni Avdija	66	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.01	-17	4	-21	14.7	12.8	1.95	11.9	13.0	-1.10
Kyle Kuzma	80	81	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	0.05	-24	11	-35	14.9	11.4	3.53	11.7	14.1	-2.34

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jokic	75	74	0.71	-0.21	0.92	-0.11	28	-15	43	11.5	14.2	-2.77	15.0	11.8	3.21
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	69	68	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.08	23	-10	33	11.8	13.3	-1.57	14.7	12.7	2.06
Aaron Gordon	70	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.10	21	-8	29	11.8	13.3	-1.44	15.0	12.2	2.83
Jamal Murray	67	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.08	19	-6	25	12.5	12.1	0.38	15.1	12.2	2.93
Bruce Brown	64	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	0	13	12.0	12.8	-0.80	14.3	13.5	0.83
Bones Hyland	64	65	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	14	-15	12.3	12.3	0.03	13.7	14.3	-0.59
Vlatko Cancar	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	16.0	12.2	3.81	8.0	14.2	-6.25
Davon Reed	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	16.0	12.2	3.81	8.0	14.2	-6.25
Ish Smith	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	16.0	12.2	3.81	9.5	14.1	-4.63
Zeke Nnaji	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	16.0	12.2	3.81	8.0	14.2	-6.25
Jeff Green	35	37	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.13	-5	18	-23	12.9	12.0	0.90	12.8	14.6	-1.78
Christian Braun	55	58	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.22	-10	23	-33	12.7	11.9	0.76	12.4	15.7	-3.28
DeAndre Jordan	30	31	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.14	-12	25	-37	14.0	11.7	2.30	12.4	14.6	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 93, UTA 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MIA 82, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
SEA 102, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	94.4%