NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	102		Excitement	5.6 [666]		MVP	Rex Chapman (PHX): +24.6%
Phoenix Suns	109		Comeback	1.2 [746]		LVP	Kevin Johnson (PHX): -20.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.03	20	68%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	6	82%	0.11	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Greg Anthony	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	80%	0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome Kersey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Aaron Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	8	55%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	13	47%	-0.08	2	-0.06	8	50%	-0.05
Hersey Hawkins	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	0.00	7	0%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Chapman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.19	0.08	0.02	15	87%	0.31	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.06	0.01	18	71%	0.21	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	4	90%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	16	64%	0.09	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.00
Mark Bryant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.06	-0.02	5	0%	-0.11	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	3.6	25.3	15.6	23.2	2.4	33.5	125.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +41.5%

PHX +16.9%

PHX +2.7%

SEA -14.1%

PHX +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHX	NBA	SEA	PHX	NBA
this game	18.4	16.7	15.6	125.9	131.3	102.5
season	15.3	15.0		109.3	105.3
opponent	15.9	16.2		100.0	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	21.7	16.3	18.2	17.6	18.4
PHX	16.2	15.7	15.3	20.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Kersey	38	42	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.01	4	-11	15	16.8	19.8	-2.93	17.1	16.3	0.80
Greg Anthony	24	26	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-10	13	18.6	18.3	0.27	17.7	16.3	1.38
Aaron Williams	7	8	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-8	9	15.7	18.6	-2.93	15.4	16.9	-1.52
Sam Perkins	37	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.16	5	-12	17	17.5	19.2	-1.72	17.7	15.9	1.83
Dale Ellis	47	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.35	10	-17	27	18.1	18.8	-0.69	19.0	13.7	5.24
Hersey Hawkins	32	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	7	-21	19.7	17.6	2.08	13.9	18.4	-4.54
Jim McIlvaine	25	24	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	6	-19	21.1	17.2	3.94	13.8	17.9	-4.16
Gary Payton	70	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.27	-9	2	-11	18.2	19.9	-1.75	17.0	15.1	1.91
Vin Baker	62	62	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	3	-13	18.6	17.6	1.00	17.2	15.5	1.64
Detlef Schrempf	63	63	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.34	-12	5	-17	18.6	17.6	1.08	15.8	19.7	-3.89

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rex Chapman	75	74	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.28	15	-8	23	16.3	20.6	-4.29	18.5	17.4	1.06
Hot Rod Williams	40	40	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.20	12	-5	17	17.3	16.2	1.12	19.6	17.2	2.48
Clifford Robinson	71	68	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	-1	9	16.8	16.5	0.29	18.4	18.3	0.10
Jason Kidd	58	58	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.35	6	1	5	17.1	16.0	1.07	19.1	16.7	2.43
Antonio McDyess	40	41	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	-1	9	16.3	17.2	-0.86	20.6	16.1	4.44
Danny Manning	56	53	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.29	-8	15	-23	17.7	14.8	2.86	17.1	20.9	-3.82
Mark Bryant	11	10	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	4	-1	16.5	16.8	-0.23	16.7	18.6	-1.93
Steve Nash	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	7	-7	4.0	17.1	-13.06	11.5	18.6	-7.07
George McCloud	27	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	9	-11	16.5	16.9	-0.39	17.4	18.9	-1.48
Kevin Johnson	35	32	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.03	-7	14	-21	16.4	17.0	-0.65	16.5	19.6	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 81, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.92,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%
TOR 87, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	95.2%
LAC 102, POR 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,1,1	94.6%