NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	102		Excitement	4.9 [830]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +13.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	107		Comeback	1.6 [1058]		LVP	Al Thornton (LAC): -11.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Smush Parker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	74%	0.13	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Josh Powell	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	14	64%	0.14	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Quinton Ross	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	8	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	5	108%	0.15	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.12	-0.01	0.08	17	60%	0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Fazekas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	46%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Al Thornton	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	10	25%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.01	18	61%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.07	0.01	11	62%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.03	7	100%	0.13	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	17	49%	0.12	2	-0.05	9	56%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.7	27.6	15.8	23.9	1.8	39.3	133.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +20.2%

POR +5.1%

POR +11.3%

POR +11.9%

POR +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	15.6	17.9	15.4	117.2	125.9	105.7
season	15.6	16.7		99.5	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.1		106.1	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.3	15.7	16.4	12.9	15.6
POR	16.1	16.3	18.8	20.8	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Fazekas	28	29	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.23	12	-17	29	17.5	14.7	2.79	21.0	16.3	4.70
Smush Parker	50	47	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.44	18	-23	41	13.9	17.8	-3.94	18.9	16.7	2.18
Tim Thomas	22	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	3	-11	17.3	15.0	2.33	16.1	18.5	-2.39
Dan Dickau	54	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-1	-3	16.9	13.3	3.61	17.4	19.1	-1.74
Cuttino Mobley	70	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-4	3	15.1	17.5	-2.36	18.1	17.4	0.66
Al Thornton	75	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.32	-7	2	-9	15.7	15.0	0.67	17.7	19.5	-1.89
Quinton Ross	75	72	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.13	-17	12	-29	15.6	15.4	0.18	17.8	18.8	-0.98
Josh Powell	61	59	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.15	-18	13	-31	14.6	17.8	-3.18	17.2	19.6	-2.36

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	64	67	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.22	15	-10	25	17.3	20.0	-2.73	15.1	17.2	-2.18
LaMarcus Aldridge	69	71	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-6	17	17.8	18.4	-0.61	14.8	18.9	-4.04
Steve Blake	63	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-6	17	17.6	19.0	-1.43	15.0	17.0	-1.91
Brandon Roy	71	73	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.30	9	-4	13	18.0	17.5	0.53	15.2	17.3	-2.04
Joel Przybilla	48	49	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.20	9	-4	13	19.5	15.9	3.68	16.7	14.1	2.61
Travis Outlaw	29	29	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	6	-7	15.3	19.3	-3.99	15.4	15.7	-0.29
Sergio Rodriguez	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	6	-7	17.0	18.1	-1.07	16.4	15.5	0.93
Channing Frye	23	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	13	-21	19.0	17.6	1.39	16.1	15.4	0.76
Jarrett Jack	27	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.17	-10	15	-25	18.3	17.8	0.57	16.9	14.9	1.98
James Jones	21	20	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.13	-10	15	-25	20.0	17.3	2.73	17.2	15.1	2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 102, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	94.6%
DET 103, LAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.92,1,1,1	94.4%
NJN 88, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%