NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	103		Excitement	5.8 [684]		MVP	Danny Granger (LAC): +15.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	112		Comeback	1.4 [1170]		LVP	Josh Smith (DET): -15.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	12	79%	0.19	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04
Andre Drummond	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.03	12	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	12	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	0.08	16	49%	-0.06	3	-0.06	7	71%	0.01
Will Bynum	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.04	0.04	7	40%	-0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	16	36%	-0.07	4	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.00	9	74%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.20	0.01	0.07	15	80%	0.19	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.01	-0.03	17	69%	0.21	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.01	6	79%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	16	40%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	13	35%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	0.03	5	64%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.4	28.5	16.3	24.5	2.5	30.2	125.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +60.1%

LAC +4.0%

DET -23.2%

LAC +11.5%

DET -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAC	NBA	DET	LAC	NBA
this game	16.7	13.1	15.1	107.3	114.3	105.2
season	15.0	14.3		104.7	111.0
opponent	15.4	15.0		104.3	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.3	18.3	17.0	16.3	16.7
LAC	12.4	14.5	10.9	15.0	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	8	8	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.08	4	-13	17	11.9	17.1	-5.24	16.9	12.7	4.16
Will Bynum	43	44	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-17	25	18.0	15.6	2.35	15.0	11.4	3.62
Rodney Stuckey	52	53	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-14	19	17.7	15.4	2.34	12.9	13.2	-0.23
Jonas Jerebko	50	51	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.25	8	-17	25	18.0	15.3	2.72	14.1	12.0	2.10
Kyle Singler	40	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-3	-3	16.8	16.6	0.17	13.0	13.1	-0.05
Andre Drummond	78	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	4	-17	16.7	16.7	-0.06	12.3	16.2	-3.82
Greg Monroe	71	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	4	-17	15.9	18.9	-2.98	12.6	14.3	-1.66
Josh Smith	70	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	5	-19	16.3	17.6	-1.29	13.1	12.8	0.33
Brandon Jennings	68	70	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.03	-24	15	-39	15.8	18.9	-3.13	11.9	16.0	-4.08

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	69	68	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.07	23	-14	37	12.7	13.9	-1.15	15.9	18.5	-2.57
Chris Paul	77	75	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.06	23	-14	37	12.6	14.9	-2.30	16.2	18.4	-2.18
Blake Griffin	77	75	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.06	23	-14	37	12.6	14.9	-2.30	16.2	18.4	-2.18
Matt Barnes	68	67	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.08	21	-12	33	12.7	13.9	-1.18	15.8	18.7	-2.93
Jamal Crawford	65	65	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.21	-2	11	-13	13.4	12.5	0.90	17.1	15.8	1.29
Darren Collison	54	52	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	12	-15	13.4	12.6	0.75	16.8	16.5	0.37
Danny Granger	30	29	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.15	-12	21	-33	13.9	12.7	1.18	18.7	15.8	2.93
Hedo Turkoglu	21	21	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.17	-14	23	-37	14.9	12.6	2.30	18.4	16.2	2.18
Glen Davis	29	28	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.16	-14	23	-37	13.9	12.7	1.15	18.5	15.9	2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.92,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
NJN 82, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
LAC 102, POR 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,1,1	94.4%