NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	99		Excitement	4.5 [885]		MVP	Walt Williams (POR): +11.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	108		Comeback	1.8 [609]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -10.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	7	100%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	11	55%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	10	68%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gary Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	59%	-0.00	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alton Lister	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.06	15	62%	0.01	4	-0.08	9	78%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	17	47%	0.03	6	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.01	3	83%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Eddie Jones	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	81%	0.13	2	-0.05	14	57%	-0.04
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	68%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	14	69%	0.08	3	-0.05	7	86%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Bennett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	9	28%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	15	46%	0.00	3	-0.04	11	45%	-0.07
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.4	35.5	19.6	29.6	2.8	31.5	149.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +20.9%

POR -4.2%

LAL +1.7%

LAL +18.9%

LAL +12.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	16.1	16.1	15.6	111.2	120.0	102.5
season	15.9	14.8		101.9	110.0
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.6	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.9	14.4	18.0	13.8	16.1
LAL	16.2	16.2	15.6	16.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Grant	7	7	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.14	12	-21	33	12.3	16.5	-4.17	12.3	16.4	-4.09
Stacey Augmon	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-7	5	11.1	16.9	-5.83	16.9	15.9	0.99
Walt Williams	55	55	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.21	5	-14	19	14.6	18.6	-4.04	17.0	14.5	2.48
Alton Lister	7	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-4	-1	21.9	15.6	6.22	16.7	16.0	0.71
Arvydas Sabonis	27	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-7	5	14.3	16.9	-2.62	16.9	15.7	1.16
Kelvin Cato	36	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-5	1	17.2	15.4	1.84	15.7	16.3	-0.51
Brian Grant	64	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-5	1	17.0	13.8	3.29	16.0	16.3	-0.37
Isaiah Rider	73	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	0	-9	17.0	12.2	4.72	15.6	18.5	-2.89
Damon Stoudamire	85	86	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.18	-18	9	-27	16.3	13.2	3.01	16.1	15.0	1.10
Rasheed Wallace	79	80	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.20	-18	9	-27	16.2	15.2	1.04	15.9	17.5	-1.62

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	42	43	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.01	23	-14	37	13.3	18.5	-5.19	19.0	13.4	5.66
Robert Horry	71	70	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.05	18	-9	27	15.3	18.9	-3.60	17.4	11.5	5.85
Rick Fox	61	62	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-5	19	16.2	15.8	0.39	17.2	13.7	3.47
Shaquille O'Neal	68	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.20	7	2	5	16.7	14.1	2.60	16.2	16.0	0.22
Eddie Jones	68	66	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	0	9	16.2	15.7	0.43	16.4	15.4	0.99
Kobe Bryant	50	49	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.28	-3	12	-15	15.9	16.2	-0.26	14.6	18.0	-3.50
Elden Campbell	39	38	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	12	-15	16.8	15.5	1.30	14.0	17.7	-3.71
Jon Barry	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	7.0	16.2	-9.16	11.0	16.2	-5.18
Mario Bennett	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	7.0	16.2	-9.16	11.0	16.2	-5.18
Sean Rooks	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	7.0	16.2	-9.16	11.0	16.2	-5.18
Nick Van Exel	48	46	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.25	-14	23	-37	18.5	13.3	5.19	13.4	19.0	-5.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 82, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%
SAS 103, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	95.5%
IND 95, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.84,1	95.2%