NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	5.8 [648]		MVP	Chris Mills (GSW): +21.7%
Golden State Warriors	99		Comeback	1.4 [425]		LVP	Travis Best (IND): -20.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,0.08	0.03	0.09	0.04	15	53%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	8	35%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jonathan Bender	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Zan Tabak	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	15	45%	-0.05	3	-0.06	10	40%	-0.06
Jalen Rose	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17	-0.09	-0.06	0.02	15	41%	-0.09	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Travis Best	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21	-0.07	-0.12	0.02	16	38%	-0.21	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.18	-0.01	12	63%	0.26	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Bob Sura	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.01	10	82%	0.16	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	22	54%	0.10	4	-0.08	10	80%	0.03
Vinny Del Negro	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	6	58%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	38%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.03	-0.06	12	33%	-0.08	2	-0.05	9	33%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	28.6	16.5	25.4	2.4	38.1	137.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +41.2%

GSW +14.9%

IND -13.0%

GSW +6.0%

GSW +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	GSW	NBA	IND	GSW	NBA
this game	14.5	15.4	15.5	99.0	102.1	100.9
season	15.9	15.0		99.3	95.3
opponent	14.9	15.6		104.8	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	15.4	15.2	12.6	14.5
GSW	14.1	15.2	14.2	18.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	36	35	0.32	-0.82	1.13	-0.30	21	-25	46	14.7	14.3	0.41	18.0	13.9	4.11
Zan Tabak	3	4	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-5	6	14.7	14.5	0.20	14.0	15.4	-1.43
Jonathan Bender	16	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.13	2	-6	8	15.8	14.2	1.61	16.9	15.1	1.85
Travis Best	71	71	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.49	14	-18	32	14.9	13.3	1.61	16.0	13.7	2.24
Al Harrington	21	21	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	2	-8	14.8	14.4	0.38	15.5	15.3	0.13
Jalen Rose	80	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-3	2	14.2	15.6	-1.31	15.7	13.9	1.72
Jermaine O'Neal	79	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	1	-6	13.8	17.6	-3.79	15.7	13.8	1.90
Austin Croshere	52	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.11	-13	9	-22	14.9	14.0	0.87	13.6	17.6	-4.01
Reggie Miller	73	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.21	-10	6	-16	13.9	16.3	-2.36	14.7	17.7	-2.99
Derrick McKey	49	50	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	0.05	-23	19	-42	15.0	14.0	1.00	14.1	16.7	-2.54

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	77	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.31	8	-4	12	15.5	14.8	0.72	13.8	16.8	-3.01
Antawn Jamison	86	86	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-4	12	15.3	16.2	-0.91	14.4	15.3	-0.93
Larry Hughes	89	88	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.36	5	-1	6	15.6	12.7	2.86	14.3	16.2	-1.94
Chris Mills	80	79	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.33	6	-2	8	15.5	14.9	0.52	14.0	16.6	-2.58
Adonal Foyle	47	44	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.29	2	2	0	15.6	15.2	0.35	14.9	14.1	0.77
Erick Dampier	46	47	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	2	0	15.1	15.6	-0.54	14.9	14.0	0.87
Adam Keefe	36	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.21	-9	13	-22	14.8	15.7	-0.86	16.1	13.5	2.63
Mookie Blaylock	24	25	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	8	-12	15.1	15.5	-0.38	14.8	14.4	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 98, UTA 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
NJN 82, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
POR 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%