NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	98		Excitement	4.3 [927]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +11.6%
Utah Jazz	106		Comeback	1.4 [1152]		LVP	Darrick Martin (LAC): -12.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pooh Richardson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	9	72%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	15	61%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
James Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Eric Piatkowski	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.02	0.04	15	51%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	18%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	45%	-0.03	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	4	45%	-0.03	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	13	72%	0.16	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	19	58%	0.06	2	-0.02	12	75%	0.01
Adam Keefe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	8	67%	0.04	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	6	21%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	60.1	1.8	28.2	15.3	22.4	2.5	23.8	154.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +26.4%

LAC -7.4%

UTA +21.8%

UTA +9.1%

UTA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	14.2	15.6	101.0	110.4	102.5
season	15.5	15.9		101.0	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.1		102.1	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.0	17.6	17.5	13.5	15.6
UTA	13.7	14.3	12.5	16.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	27	26	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.26	12	-20	32	14.4	16.1	-1.73	14.5	14.1	0.44
Pooh Richardson	40	41	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.11	5	-13	18	17.6	14.2	3.37	14.5	14.0	0.51
Stojko Vrankovic	43	42	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-10	12	17.6	14.1	3.53	13.7	14.6	-0.98
James Collins	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-12	16	10.7	15.9	-5.28	16.0	14.1	1.90
Keith Closs	15	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.27	9	-17	26	12.9	16.1	-3.26	16.6	13.8	2.84
James Robinson	51	49	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.32	10	-18	28	15.1	16.2	-1.01	15.3	13.0	2.30
Rodney Rogers	51	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	4	-16	15.0	16.3	-1.22	14.3	14.1	0.20
Eric Piatkowski	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	-1	-6	16.0	14.2	1.82	14.3	13.9	0.34
Darrick Martin	41	40	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.09	-21	13	-34	15.0	16.1	-1.11	13.3	14.8	-1.49
Lorenzen Wright	50	52	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	0.07	-25	17	-42	16.1	15.1	0.99	13.6	14.9	-1.27
Lamond Murray	85	83	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.17	-17	9	-26	15.2	18.3	-3.10	13.7	17.5	-3.75

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Keefe	53	54	0.74	-0.24	0.97	-0.14	30	-22	52	12.8	16.0	-3.18	16.1	15.0	1.07
Karl Malone	66	66	0.68	-0.18	0.86	-0.11	27	-19	46	13.0	16.9	-3.90	16.2	14.5	1.72
Jeff Hornacek	58	59	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.10	25	-17	42	12.9	16.3	-3.38	16.1	14.9	1.10
Greg Ostertag	64	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-8	24	13.5	15.6	-2.06	16.0	15.0	0.97
John Stockton	61	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	1	6	14.8	13.3	1.47	15.6	15.6	-0.04
Howard Eisley	32	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	4	0	13.4	14.6	-1.22	16.4	15.3	1.13
Chris Morris	18	19	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.25	-8	16	-24	16.6	13.7	2.88	13.6	16.1	-2.47
Jacque Vaughn	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	11	-14	12.0	14.3	-2.29	8.0	15.9	-7.86
Greg Foster	8	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	10	-12	15.1	14.1	0.99	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Shandon Anderson	38	38	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.36	-17	25	-42	16.3	12.9	3.38	14.9	16.1	-1.10
Bryon Russell	46	47	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.38	-19	27	-46	15.5	13.1	2.38	15.5	15.7	-0.21
Antoine Carr	33	33	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.40	-20	28	-48	17.1	12.7	4.33	14.6	16.2	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.84,1	95.4%
CHH 87, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1	95.2%
NJN 82, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%