NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	117		Excitement	7.3 [463]		MVP	Myles Turner (IND): +26.9%
Indiana Pacers	128		Comeback	5.7 [208]		LVP	Joe Harris (BKN): -7.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nic Claxton	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.01	-0.03	6	100%	0.12	1	0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.02	8	95%	0.26	3	-0.12	5	80%	0.02
Seth Curry	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.03	-0.03	9	78%	0.21	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	17	57%	0.09	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.18,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.13,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.04	0.07	31	55%	0.17	5	-0.15	4	75%	-0.00
David Duke Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	8	56%	0.04	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.21	0.09	0.02	11	88%	0.29	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.12	-0.02	15	58%	0.23	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.05	-0.00	15	79%	0.29	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.03,-0.08,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.12	0.03	15	51%	0.16	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.09
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	6	57%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.02	6	56%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	6	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	24.4	14.6	30.4	2.4	39.4	140.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +1.5%

IND +19.1%

IND +6.1%

IND +25.2%

BKN -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	IND	NBA	BKN	IND	NBA
this game	14.2	13.2	14.4	111.4	121.9	113.4
season	14.4	13.7		113.7	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.8		116.4	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.7	13.7	15.1	13.6	14.2
IND	13.0	15.1	11.2	13.6	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kessler Edwards	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-12	13	17.5	14.2	3.32	23.0	13.1	9.91
David Duke Jr.	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-12	13	17.5	14.2	3.32	23.0	13.1	9.91
Patty Mills	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-8	5	12.4	14.5	-2.10	17.6	12.7	4.98
Kevin Durant	84	86	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-11	11	14.1	14.8	-0.64	12.8	15.0	-2.22
Kyrie Irving	83	83	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-12	13	13.9	15.5	-1.64	13.2	13.3	-0.12
Royce O'Neale	89	89	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	0	-11	14.0	15.6	-1.55	13.4	11.7	1.76
Joe Harris	29	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-3	-5	14.1	14.3	-0.20	12.3	13.5	-1.20
Markieff Morris	28	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-6	1	17.3	13.1	4.14	11.1	13.9	-2.83
Ben Simmons	74	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-6	1	13.8	15.3	-1.43	13.9	11.4	2.50
Seth Curry	62	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.31	-5	-6	1	14.2	14.3	-0.13	12.0	15.0	-2.99
Nic Claxton	61	60	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.05	-21	10	-31	14.6	13.7	0.86	14.0	12.1	1.87

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	70	71	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.11	26	-15	41	14.3	11.0	3.23	14.9	12.8	2.15
Buddy Hield	81	83	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.13	21	-10	31	14.4	9.2	5.20	13.9	15.5	-1.58
T.J. McConnell	47	46	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	0	11	14.2	12.3	1.87	13.3	15.0	-1.68
James Johnson	25	24	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-1	13	9.6	14.3	-4.75	15.1	14.0	1.14
Bennedict Mathurin	68	68	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	6	-1	12.8	13.9	-1.14	13.7	15.2	-1.41
Jalen Smith	42	43	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	8	-5	13.5	12.9	0.61	14.9	13.8	1.16
Tyrese Haliburton	74	74	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	11	-11	13.2	13.0	0.21	14.3	14.0	0.31
Aaron Nesmith	57	57	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.12	0	11	-11	11.9	14.6	-2.70	14.9	13.4	1.53
Oshae Brissett	26	25	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.03	-8	19	-27	14.1	12.9	1.19	14.6	14.1	0.41
Isaiah Jackson	35	34	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	0.07	-15	26	-41	11.0	14.3	-3.23	12.8	14.9	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.18,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.68,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.94,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 103, OKC 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.3,0.43,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.1%
CHI 85, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.51,0.68,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.7%
MIN 104, TOR 109	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.98,0.85,1	92.5%