NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	85		Excitement	6.5 [515]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): +14.9%
Indiana Pacers	95		Comeback	3.8 [705]		LVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): -25.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	14	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Luke Schenscher	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Sweetney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Randy Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	60%	0.01	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.04
Luol Deng	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	14	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Kirk Hinrich	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	11	47%	-0.04	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26	-0.17	-0.08	0.01	15	28%	-0.17	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.12	-0.00	18	51%	0.17	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.03
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.03	5	71%	0.10	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	10	68%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eddie Gill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	42%	0.01	1	-0.04	12	50%	-0.07
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	14	38%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.06	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	36.4	16.4	25.4	2.5	31.6	140.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +32.8%

IND +11.5%

IND +2.4%

IND +1.5%

IND +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	14.9	15.6	15.6	90.4	100.0	104.4
season	14.4	16.0		102.6	102.3
opponent	15.5	16.1		100.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.4	16.3	14.9	14.9	14.9
IND	17.9	14.3	15.1	15.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Sweetney	33	37	0.30	-0.80	1.11	-0.14	15	-25	40	14.7	15.0	-0.33	14.9	16.0	-1.14
Randy Livingston	16	18	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-12	14	14.8	14.9	-0.08	16.2	15.5	0.71
Malik Allen	13	13	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-15	20	13.1	15.2	-2.10	18.3	15.2	3.15
Jannero Pargo	4	5	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-11	12	12.0	15.0	-3.01	11.0	15.8	-4.84
Luke Schenscher	14	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-6	2	15.9	14.7	1.14	14.8	15.7	-0.95
Othella Harrington	21	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	-1	-8	16.0	14.6	1.38	15.6	15.6	0.01
Luol Deng	69	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	1	-12	14.6	15.7	-1.09	15.7	15.3	0.41
Ben Gordon	59	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-4	-2	14.9	14.8	0.13	16.1	14.8	1.31
Andres Nocioni	67	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-6	2	14.7	15.4	-0.79	15.1	16.9	-1.75
Chris Duhon	46	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	-2	-6	16.0	13.9	2.10	14.1	17.0	-2.91
Kirk Hinrich	72	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.25	-12	2	-14	14.8	15.2	-0.45	16.0	14.3	1.68
Tyson Chandler	56	55	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.18	-19	9	-28	14.8	14.9	-0.11	16.5	14.4	2.05

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	61	61	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.17	12	-2	14	15.2	16.3	-1.10	14.5	15.6	-1.16
Jamaal Tinsley	45	46	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-2	14	15.4	15.7	-0.32	16.1	13.7	2.40
Stephen Jackson	77	77	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	2	6	16.2	13.1	3.13	14.2	17.9	-3.66
Danny Granger	48	47	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	5	0	15.0	16.2	-1.19	15.4	14.4	0.96
Peja Stojakovic	60	62	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	3	4	15.8	15.2	0.62	15.5	13.7	1.77
David Harrison	35	33	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.08	11	-1	12	16.5	15.0	1.51	14.2	15.3	-1.13
Anthony Johnson	63	61	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	4	2	15.6	15.6	0.04	13.9	16.6	-2.70
Fred Jones	37	34	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	8	-6	14.5	16.3	-1.76	15.9	14.3	1.57
Eddie Gill	3	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.09	-5	15	-20	11.3	15.7	-4.39	5.5	15.1	-9.59
Jermaine O'Neal	46	47	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.12	-8	18	-26	16.0	15.2	0.80	15.4	14.3	1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.51,0.68,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.9,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, ATL 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.62,0.68,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.98,1	93.4%
ORL 101, GSW 108	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.48,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.81,0.67,0.86,0.97,0.91,0.96,1	92.7%
MEM 92, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.58,0.69,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.97,1,1	92.6%