NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	92		Excitement	7.0 [489]		MVP	Nemanja Bjelica (SAC): +10.6%
Sacramento Kings	97		Comeback	4.5 [183]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -15.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Selden	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	65%	0.13	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
MarShon Brooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	7	21%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.02	0.01	16	41%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.05	-0.02	0.10	22	56%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	9	35%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	13	37%	-0.08	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	5	79%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Buddy Hield	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.01	20	57%	0.19	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	16	48%	0.07	2	-0.03	12	58%	-0.01
Frank Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	8	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.04
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	9	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Harry Giles III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.06	0.05	14	45%	-0.08	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	25.2	14.5	28.8	1.8	36.0	133.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +23.5%

MEM -2.9%

SAC +19.0%

SAC +7.9%

SAC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAC	NBA	MEM	SAC	NBA
this game	15.8	12.2	14.3	89.3	94.2	109.3
season	15.4	13.3		105.4	109.2
opponent	14.3	14.2		110.5	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.3	16.2	16.1	14.6	15.8
SAC	12.0	11.3	12.7	12.6	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dillon Brooks	28	29	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.08	12	-17	29	14.7	16.2	-1.47	14.6	11.2	3.40
Omri Casspi	24	22	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.13	8	-13	21	15.9	15.8	0.12	12.5	12.1	0.36
Wayne Selden	55	56	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.27	12	-17	29	14.9	16.7	-1.80	12.7	11.5	1.22
MarShon Brooks	30	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-3	1	14.4	16.4	-1.96	11.8	12.3	-0.53
Jaren Jackson Jr.	62	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	0	-5	16.6	14.6	1.95	12.2	12.1	0.04
Shelvin Mack	48	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-4	3	16.3	15.3	0.95	12.6	11.8	0.73
Marc Gasol	66	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	2	-9	16.3	14.9	1.35	12.1	12.3	-0.18
Kyle Anderson	60	63	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	6	-17	15.6	16.0	-0.45	11.8	12.7	-0.90
Garrett Temple	65	64	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.23	-14	9	-23	15.6	16.1	-0.42	11.5	13.3	-1.74
Mike Conley	77	77	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.29	-17	12	-29	16.2	14.5	1.67	11.5	14.0	-2.49

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Aaron Fox	80	80	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.28	18	-13	31	11.3	15.1	-3.81	16.4	13.5	2.97
Nemanja Bjelica	68	70	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.29	17	-12	29	11.8	12.9	-1.12	16.1	15.0	1.11
Justin Jackson	80	80	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.20	20	-15	35	11.6	14.2	-2.57	16.1	14.7	1.35
Buddy Hield	89	89	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.30	16	-11	27	11.8	14.3	-2.44	16.1	14.0	2.07
Willie Cauley-Stein	77	75	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.25	11	-6	17	11.8	13.2	-1.31	15.5	16.5	-0.93
Marvin Bagley III	46	45	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.11	-8	13	-21	13.2	11.4	1.77	15.8	15.8	-0.02
Ben McLemore	10	9	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	13	-21	13.9	12.0	1.91	13.4	16.0	-2.57
Harry Giles III	15	16	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.06	-10	15	-25	12.6	12.1	0.50	15.4	15.9	-0.41
Yogi Ferrell	23	24	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.14	-15	20	-35	14.2	11.6	2.57	14.6	16.2	-1.57
Frank Mason	27	27	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	0.06	-16	21	-37	15.1	11.1	4.03	13.9	16.5	-2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.58,0.69,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 77, DET 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.8%
CHI 85, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.51,0.68,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.6%
SAS 84, ATL 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.62,0.68,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.98,1	92.6%